14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 1 • September 02, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
TCU @ North Carolina
0-0
Big 12
Power Rank: 11.9
48 FINAL 14
0-0
ACC
Power Rank: -1.7
TCU covered by 31.5 | Game went Over by 2.5

By · Last updated

TCU defeated North Carolina 48–14 in a dominant performance.

TCU @ North Carolina Preview

General Information

Week: Week 1
Kick Off (at stadium): 08:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Capacity: 50,500
Elevation: 446 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread TCU -2.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Expected Score TCU 31.0 - 28.5 UNC
Power Rank Implied Line TCU +13.6
Prediction Markets TCU 62% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

17.1°F

Wind Chill: 5.4°F
Wind: 9.8 mph NW
Gusts: 18.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 85%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

TCU (Away)

This Week: 1069.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1069.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: No Prior

North Carolina (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 39.6 miles
Season Total: 39.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: No Prior

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line TCU -2.5
Total Points 59.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
TCU 11.9
North Carolina -1.7
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1069 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest —
HFA: Kenan Stadium
Capacity 50,500
Elevation 446 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 17.1°F
Wind Speed 9.8 mph
Your Line North Carolina -13.6
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for TCU vs North Carolina?

TCU: Key Factors

North Carolina: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

TCU travels 1,069 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

TCU arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

TCU won by 34 in a dominant performance.

TCU covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 2.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Kenan Stadium?

At 17.1°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do TCU and North Carolina compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour TCU (11.9) over North Carolina (-1.7) by 13.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, North Carolina faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. North Carolina brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on TCU and North Carolina?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

TCU won and TCU covered the spread.