@ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
Week 1 •
Jack Trice Stadium

South Dakota7 @FINAL 55Iowa State

0-0 MVFC Power rating: -17.8
1-0 Big 12 Power rating: 9.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ISU -13.5
PM Implied
ISU -12.4
Blue Chip model
ISU -30.4
Edge
+16.9ISU
See details
◂ favors SDAKfavors ISU ▸Market: ISU -13.5
27.5 › ISU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ISU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 SDAK5 ISU10 SDAK10 ISU15 SDAK15 ISUModel: ISU -30.4

Betting information

Spread
ISU -13.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
SDAK 17.0 – 30.5 ISU
Prediction markets
ISU 88% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 10, 2026

Iowa State defeated South Dakota 55–7 in a dominant performance. Iowa State covered by 34.5; Game went Over by 14.5. The market closed at Iowa State -13.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Iowa State -30.4 - a gap of 16.9 points toward Iowa State, of which 16.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for South Dakota vs Iowa State?

At kickoff, conditions at Jack Trice Stadium were Partly cloudy, 74°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

South Dakota travels 177 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Iowa State won by 48 in a dominant performance.

Iowa State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 14.5 points.

How do South Dakota and Iowa State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Iowa State (9.7) over South Dakota (-17.8) by 27.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Iowa State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on South Dakota and Iowa State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Iowa State won and Iowa State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 30, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

74°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity76%
Wind9 mph E
Gusts17 mph
Wind map for South Dakota at Iowa State: aerial view of Jack Trice Stadium, wind from the E at 9.4 mph, gusting to 16.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Jack Trice Stadium
Capacity
61,500
Elevation
915 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

South DakotaAway Iowa StateHome
This week177 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week7,782 miles
Season total177 miles7,782 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
RestSeason opener7 days

Other games this week