14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 1 • August 28, 2025, 09:30 PM UTC
Boise State @ South Florida
0-0
MW
Power Rank: 6.7
7 FINAL 34
0-0
American
Power Rank: 9.4
South Florida covered by 35.5 | Game went Under by 22.5

By · Last updated

South Florida defeated Boise State 34–7 to secure a comfortable win.

Boise State @ South Florida Preview

General Information

Week: Week 1
Kick Off (at stadium): 05:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity: 69,218
Elevation: 72 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Unknown

Betting Information

Spread Boise State -8.5
Total (O/U) 63.5
Expected Score BOIS 36.0 - 27.5 USF
Power Rank Implied Line South Florida +2.7
Prediction Markets Boise State 67% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

44.9°F

Wind Chill: 41.3°F
Wind: 6.7 mph NNW
Gusts: 10.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 57%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Boise State (Away)

This Week: 2156.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2156.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: No Prior

South Florida (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 0.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:30
Rest Days: No Prior

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Boise State -8.5
Total Points 63.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Boise State 6.7
South Florida 9.4
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 2156 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest —
HFA: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity 69,218
Elevation 72 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 44.9°F
Wind Speed 6.7 mph
Your Line South Florida +2.7
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Boise State vs South Florida?

Boise State: Key Factors

South Florida: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Boise State travels 2,156 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Boise State arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

South Florida won by 27 to secure a comfortable win.

South Florida covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 22.5 points.

How do Boise State and South Florida compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour South Florida (9.4) over Boise State (6.7) by 2.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Florida brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Boise State and South Florida?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

South Florida won and South Florida covered the spread.