Week 1
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium

Kennesaw State9 @FINAL 10Wake Forest , Week 1, Aug 29, 2025

0-0 CUSA Power rating: -4.3
0-0 ACC Power rating: -1.2

How did the line hold up?

Market line
WAKE -17.5
PM Implied
WAKE -13.7
Blue Chip model
WAKE -5.6
Edge
-11.9KENN
See details
◂ favors KENNfavors WAKE ▸Market: WAKE -17.5
WAKE
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WAKE
no impact
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5 KENN5 WAKE10 KENN10 WAKEModel: WAKE -5.6

Betting information

Spread
WAKE -17.5
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
KENN 17.0 – 34.5 WAKE
Prediction markets
WAKE 90% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 10, 2026

Wake Forest defeated Kennesaw State 10–9 in a nail-biter. Kennesaw State covered by 16.5; Game went Under by 32.5. The market closed at Wake Forest -17.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Wake Forest -5.6 - a gap of 11.9 points toward Kennesaw State, of which 11.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Kennesaw State vs Wake Forest?

At kickoff, conditions at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium were Partly cloudy, 73°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Kennesaw State travels 287 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Wake Forest won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Kennesaw State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 32.5 points.

How do Kennesaw State and Wake Forest compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Wake Forest (-1.2) over Kennesaw State (-4.3) by 3.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Wake Forest brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Wake Forest won and Kennesaw State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

73°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity56%
Wind2 mph NNE
Gusts4 mph
Wind map for Kennesaw State at Wake Forest: aerial view of Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, wind from the NNE at 2 mph, gusting to 4.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EDT
Venue
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Capacity
31,500
Elevation
958 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Kennesaw StateAway Wake ForestHome
This week287 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total287 miles0 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
RestSeason openerSeason opener