Week 1
Scott Stadium

Coastal Carolina7 @FINAL 48Virginia , Week 1, Aug 30, 2025

0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -15.2
0-0 ACC Power rating: 8.9

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UVA -12.5
PM Implied
UVA -9.5
Blue Chip model
UVA -25.8
Edge
+13.3UVA
See details
◂ favors CCUfavors UVA ▸Market: UVA -12.5
24.1 › UVA
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UVA
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5 CCU5 UVA10 CCU10 UVA15 CCU15 UVAModel: UVA -25.8

Betting information

Spread
UVA -12.5
Total
57.5
Odds implied score
CCU 22.5 – 35.0 UVA
Prediction markets
UVA 82% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 10, 2026

Virginia defeated Coastal Carolina 48–7 in a dominant performance. Virginia covered by 28.5; Game went Under by 2.5. The market closed at Virginia -12.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Virginia -25.8 - a gap of 13.3 points toward Virginia, of which 12.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Coastal Carolina vs Virginia?

Coastal Carolina

Rebuilt Roster Struggles

Coastal Carolina had over 60 new players, and the lack of cohesion showed in a 48-7 loss, being outgained 454-254 and losing all three phases.

Quarterback Inefficiency

Transfer QB MJ Morris completed 20 of 36 passes for only 163 yards with no touchdowns, raising concerns about his effectiveness moving forward.

Offensive Bright Spot

Running back Ja'Vin Simpkins scored the team's only touchdown on an 8-yard run, providing a potential spark for the ground game.

Defensive and Special Teams Woes

The defense allowed 454 total yards and six touchdowns, while special teams gave up a 100-yard kickoff return and a blocked punt.

Next Game Opportunity

Coastal Carolina hosts Charleston Southern next week, a chance to regroup and address issues against a weaker opponent before tougher games.

What were the weather conditions for Coastal Carolina vs Virginia?

At kickoff, conditions at Scott Stadium were Clear, 64°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Coastal Carolina travels 294 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Virginia won by 41 in a dominant performance.

Virginia covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

How do Coastal Carolina and Virginia compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Virginia (8.9) over Coastal Carolina (-15.2) by 24.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Virginia brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Virginia won and Virginia covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 30, 2025 Game-time

Clear

64°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity68%
Wind3 mph NNE
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for Coastal Carolina at Virginia: aerial view of Scott Stadium, wind from the NNE at 3.4 mph, gusting to 6.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM EDT
Venue
Scott Stadium
Capacity
61,500
Elevation
545 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure Coastal CarolinaAway VirginiaHome
This week294 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total294 miles0 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
RestSeason openerSeason opener