Week 1 • August 30, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
Austin Peay @ Middle Tennessee
0-0
FCS
Power Rank: -17.7
34 FINAL 14
0-0
CUSA
Power Rank: -20.8

Austin Peay defeated Middle Tennessee 34–14 to secure a comfortable win.

Austin Peay @ Middle Tennessee Preview

General Information

Week: Week 1
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Capacity: 27,303
Elevation: 656 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Austin Peay +3.1
Prediction Markets Middle Tennessee 84% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Overcast

Overcast

28.4°F

Wind Chill: 23.9°F
Wind: 4.3 mph SW
Gusts: 8.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 85%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Austin Peay (Away)

This Week: 72.5 miles
Last Week: 574.1 miles
Season Total: 646.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: No Prior

Middle Tennessee (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 2383.8 miles
Season Total: 2383.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: No Prior

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line
Total Points
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Austin Peay -17.7
Middle Tennessee -20.8
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 73 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest
HFA: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Capacity 27,303
Elevation 656 ft
Weather: Overcast
Temperature 28.4°F
Wind Speed 4.3 mph
Your Line Middle Tennessee -3.1
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Austin Peay vs Middle Tennessee?

Austin Peay: Key Factors

Middle Tennessee: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Austin Peay travels 73 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Austin Peay won by 20 to secure a comfortable win.

Does weather affect this game at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium?

At 28.4°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Austin Peay and Middle Tennessee compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Austin Peay (-17.7) over Middle Tennessee (-20.8) by 3.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Middle Tennessee faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Middle Tennessee brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Austin Peay won this game.