DraftKings · as of July 10, 2026
Miami defeated Notre Dame 27–24 in a nail-biter. Miami covered by 5.5; Game went Under by 2.5. The market closed at Notre Dame -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Notre Dame -2.5. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Notre Dame 4.6 points stronger on a neutral field.
Notre Dame rallied from a 14-point deficit to tie the game at 24-24 with 3:21 left, but Miami responded with a game-winning field goal. The Irish showed resilience but couldn't close out the win.
CJ Carr completed 19 of 30 passes for 221 yards with two touchdowns and one interception, plus a rushing touchdown. His performance indicates potential for growth, but he needs to limit mistakes.
The Irish defense allowed Miami to score on back-to-back possessions spanning halftime, giving up a 14-point lead. They also failed to stop Miami's game-winning drive, allowing 46 yards in 10 plays.
Notre Dame has now lost seven consecutive road games against Miami since 1977, highlighting a persistent challenge in this rivalry.
Notre Dame hosts Texas A&M on Sept. 13. They will need to address defensive consistency and build on Carr's debut to bounce back against a tough opponent.
At kickoff, conditions at Hard Rock Stadium were Heavy rain, 79°F with winds of 5 mph. A 100% chance of rain with around 0.75 inches expected points to a genuinely wet field. Ball security and the kicking game are the exposures. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Heavy rain
79°F
| Measure | Notre DameAway | MiamiHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,138 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Bye week |
| Season total | 1,138 miles | 0 miles |
| Body clock | 19:30 | 19:30 |
| Rest | Season opener | Season opener |
.png)
