26 Final 23 38 Final 61 13 Final 20 30 Final 24 34 Final 6 31 Final 34 34 Final 41 16 Final 35 19 Final 16 38 Final 35 14 Final 28 28 Final 31 38 Final 45 14 Final 42 24 Final 20 13 Final 6 20 Final 59 49 Final 51 23 Final 52 24 Final 37 38 Final 17 24 Final 25 28 Final 27 20 Final 35 10 Final 21 24 Final 27 56 Final 21 31 Final 39 24 Final 31 20 Final 31 49 Final 39 10 Final 13 23 Final 15 10 Final 28 17 Final 34 49 Final 27 17 Final 28 20 Final 24 21 Final 14 13 Final 28 31 Final 35 0 Final 26 31 Final 10 49 Final 56 20 Final 16 24 Final 57 32 Final 38 3 Final 39 17 Final 20 7 Final 24 27 Final 34 17 Final 34 31 Final 30 42 Final 19 16 Final 21 13 Final 21
Week 1 •
Bobcat Stadium (TX)

Eastern Michigan27 @FINAL 52Texas State

0-0 MAC Power rating: -17.6
0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -7.1

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TXST -14.0
PM Implied
TXST -9.9
Blue Chip model
TXST -14.0
Edge
0.0no edge
See details
◂ favors EMUfavors TXST ▸Market: TXST -14.0
10.5 › TXST
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TXST
no impact
TXST
no impact
TXST
1 EMU1 TXST2 EMU2 TXST3 EMU3 TXSTModel: TXST -14.0

Betting information

Spread
TXST -14.0
Total
58.5
Odds implied score
EMU 22.3 – 36.3 TXST
Prediction markets
TXST 83% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 10, 2026

Texas State defeated Eastern Michigan 52–27 to secure a comfortable win. Texas State covered by 11.0; Game went Over by 20.5. The market closed at Texas State -14.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas State -14.0. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for Eastern Michigan vs Texas State?

At kickoff, conditions at Bobcat Stadium (TX) were Clear, 83°F, heat index 88°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Eastern Michigan travels 1,165 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Eastern Michigan arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Texas State won by 25 to secure a comfortable win.

Texas State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 20.5 points.

How do Eastern Michigan and Texas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas State (-7.1) over Eastern Michigan (-17.6) by 10.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Eastern Michigan and Texas State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Texas State won and Texas State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 31, 2025 Game-time

Clear

83°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity65%
Wind6 mph SSW
Gusts10 mph
Heat index88°F
Wind map for Eastern Michigan at Texas State: aerial view of Bobcat Stadium (TX), wind from the SSW at 5.6 mph, gusting to 9.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CDT
Venue
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity
27,149
Elevation
600 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Eastern MichiganAway Texas StateHome
This week1,165 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total1,165 miles0 miles
Body clock20:0019:00
RestSeason openerSeason opener

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