DraftKings · as of July 10, 2026
Ohio State defeated Texas 14–7 in a one-score game. Ohio State covered by 4.0; Game went Under by 26.5. The market closed at Ohio State -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Ohio State -11.9 - a gap of 8.9 points toward Ohio State, of which 7.9 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Ohio State's defense, under new coordinator Matt Patricia, contained Texas QB Arch Manning for three quarters, forcing 1-of-5 on fourth downs and making two critical red-zone stops (including a QB sneak stuff at the 1-yard line). This performance sets a high standard for the defense heading into Week 2.
In his first collegiate start, Sayin completed 13 of 20 passes for 126 yards and a 40-yard touchdown to Carnell Tate. He avoided turnovers and managed the game well, though the game plan was conservative. His poise and ability to make key throws when needed bodes well for future games.
Coach Ryan Day admitted the game plan was conservative to protect a first-time starter, focusing on not beating themselves. This approach worked, as Ohio State avoided turnovers and penalties that could have cost them. Expect a more aggressive plan against Grambling State.
Carnell Tate made a highlight-reel 40-yard touchdown catch, and CJ Donaldson Jr. scored the game's first touchdown on a 1-yard run. The offense showed it can rely on multiple weapons, which will be important as Sayin gains experience.
Beating the No. 1 team in the AP preseason poll should propel Ohio State to the top spot in the rankings. This victory establishes the team's identity and sets a confident tone for the season, especially with a favorable matchup against Grambling State next.
At kickoff, conditions at Ohio Stadium were Sunny, 78°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Sunny
78°F

| Measure | TexasAway | Ohio StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,067 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Bye week |
| Season total | 1,067 miles | 0 miles |
| Body clock | 11:00 | 12:00 |
| Rest | Season opener | Season opener |