Indiana defeated Old Dominion 27–14 in a double-digit victory. Old Dominion covered by 10.5; Game went Under by 13.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) were Partly cloudy, 74.3°F, Feels Like 77.5°F with winds of 6.3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
74.3°F
Colton Joseph had a career-high 179 rushing yards on 10 carries, including a 75-yard TD on the first play and a 78-yard TD in the fourth quarter, showing he can be a dynamic dual-threat weapon.
Joseph threw three interceptions and completed only 11 of 22 passes for 96 yards, indicating passing efficiency and ball security need improvement for the Monarchs to win close games.
Old Dominion allowed Indiana to score on four of six red-zone trips and could not get a late stop to make it a one-possession game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that must be addressed.
The Monarchs kept the game close against a ranked opponent, controlling the first quarter and pulling within 27-14 in the fourth, showing they can hang with higher-level competition.
Old Dominion travels 579 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Indiana won by 13 in a double-digit victory.
Old Dominion covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Under by 13.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Indiana (29.6) over Old Dominion (0.6) by 29.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Indiana brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Indiana won and Old Dominion covered the spread.
