Week 1
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Old Dominion14 @FINAL 27Indiana , Week 1, Aug 30, 2025

0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: 0.6
0-0 Big Ten Power rating: 29.6

How did the line hold up?

Market line
IU -23.5
PM Implied
IU -16.9
Blue Chip model
IU -31.6
Edge
+8.1IU
See details
◂ favors ODUfavors IU ▸Market: IU -23.5
29.0 › IU
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5 ODU5 IUModel: IU -31.6

Betting information

Spread
IU -23.5
Total
54.5
Odds implied score
ODU 15.5 – 39.0 IU
Prediction markets
IU 95% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 10, 2026

Indiana defeated Old Dominion 27–14 in a double-digit victory. Old Dominion covered by 10.5; Game went Under by 13.5. The market closed at Indiana -23.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Indiana -31.6 - a gap of 8.1 points toward Indiana, of which 7.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Old Dominion vs Indiana?

Old Dominion

Explosive rushing from QB Joseph

Colton Joseph had a career-high 179 rushing yards on 10 carries, including a 75-yard TD on the first play and a 78-yard TD in the fourth quarter, showing he can be a dynamic dual-threat weapon.

Turnover issues plague offense

Joseph threw three interceptions and completed only 11 of 22 passes for 96 yards, indicating passing efficiency and ball security need improvement for the Monarchs to win close games.

Defense struggled in key moments

Old Dominion allowed Indiana to score on four of six red-zone trips and could not get a late stop to make it a one-possession game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that must be addressed.

Competitive despite loss

The Monarchs kept the game close against a ranked opponent, controlling the first quarter and pulling within 27-14 in the fourth, showing they can hang with higher-level competition.

What were the weather conditions for Old Dominion vs Indiana?

At kickoff, conditions at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) were Partly cloudy, 74°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Old Dominion travels 579 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Indiana won by 13 in a double-digit victory.

Old Dominion covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 13.5 points.

How do Old Dominion and Indiana compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Indiana (29.6) over Old Dominion (0.6) by 29.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Indiana brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Indiana won and Old Dominion covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 30, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

74°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity60%
Wind6 mph NNE
Gusts9 mph
Wind map for Old Dominion at Indiana: aerial view of Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN), wind from the NNE at 6.3 mph, gusting to 8.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM EDT
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Capacity
52,626
Elevation
787 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Old DominionAway IndianaHome
This week579 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total579 miles0 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
RestSeason openerSeason opener