Week 1 • August 30, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
0-0
CUSA
Power Rank: -16.7
13 FINAL 73
0-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 18.3
USC covered by 27.5 | Game went Over by 33.5

USC defeated Missouri State 73–13 in a dominant performance.

Missouri State @ USC Preview

General Information

Week: Week 1
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:30 PM PDT
Stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Capacity: 77,500
Elevation: 177 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread USC -32.5
Total (O/U) 52.5
Expected Score MOST 10.0 - 42.5 USC
Power Rank Implied Line USC +35.0
Prediction Markets USC 99% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

57.9°F

Feels Like: 58.1°F
Wind: 3.8 mph SSW
Gusts: 4.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 67%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Missouri State (Away)

This Week: 1420.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1420.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: No Prior

USC (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 0.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: No Prior

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line USC -32.5
Total Points 52.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Missouri State -16.7
USC 18.3
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1421 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest
HFA: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Capacity 77,500
Elevation 177 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 57.9°F
Wind Speed 3.8 mph
Your Line USC +35.0
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Missouri State vs USC?

Missouri State: Key Factors

USC: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Missouri State travels 1,421 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Missouri State arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

USC won by 60 in a dominant performance.

USC covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 33.5 points.

How do Missouri State and USC compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour USC (18.3) over Missouri State (-16.7) by 35.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. USC brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

USC won and USC covered the spread.