Week 1 •
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Georgia State7 @FINAL 63Ole Miss , Week 1, Aug 30, 2025

0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -17.6
0-0 SEC Power rating: 18.6

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MISS -38.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MISS -38.7
Edge
+0.2MISS
See details
◂ favors GASTfavors MISS ▸Market: MISS -38.5
36.2 › MISS
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MISS
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1 GAST1 MISS2 GAST2 MISSModel: MISS -38.7

Betting information

Spread
MISS -38.5
Total
62.5
Odds implied score
GAST 12.0 – 50.5 MISS

DraftKings · as of July 10, 2026

Ole Miss defeated Georgia State 63–7 in a dominant performance. Ole Miss covered by 17.5; Game went Over by 7.5. The market closed at Ole Miss -38.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Ole Miss -38.7. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for Georgia State vs Ole Miss?

At kickoff, conditions at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium were Clear, 76°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Georgia State travels 298 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Georgia State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Ole Miss won by 56 in a dominant performance.

Ole Miss covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 7.5 points.

How do Georgia State and Ole Miss compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ole Miss (18.6) over Georgia State (-17.6) by 36.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ole Miss brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Ole Miss won and Ole Miss covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 30, 2025 Game-time

Clear

76°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity59%
Wind6 mph E
Gusts12 mph
Wind map for Georgia State at Ole Miss: aerial view of Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, wind from the E at 5.6 mph, gusting to 11.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
06:45 PM CDT
Venue
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Capacity
64,038
Elevation
472 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure Georgia StateAway Ole MissHome
This week298 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total298 miles0 miles
Body clock19:4518:45
RestSeason openerSeason opener