Week 1
Camp Randall Stadium

Miami (OH)0 @FINAL 17Wisconsin , Week 1, Aug 29, 2025

0-0 MAC Power rating: -8.2
0-0 Big Ten Power rating: 1.7

How did the line hold up?

Market line
WIS -17.5
PM Implied
WIS -13.7
Blue Chip model
WIS -11.9
Edge
-5.6M-OH
See details
◂ favors M-OHfavors WIS ▸Market: WIS -17.5
9.9 › WIS
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WIS
no impact
no impact
no impact
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2 M-OH2 WIS4 M-OH4 WIS6 M-OH6 WISModel: WIS -11.9

Betting information

Spread
WIS -17.5
Total
40.5
Odds implied score
M-OH 11.5 – 29.0 WIS
Prediction markets
WIS 90% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 10, 2026

Wisconsin defeated Miami (OH) 17–0 to secure a comfortable win. Miami (OH) covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 23.5. The market closed at Wisconsin -17.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Wisconsin -11.9 - a gap of 5.6 points toward Miami (OH), of which 4.9 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Miami (OH) vs Wisconsin?

Miami (OH)

Offensive struggles and lack of cohesion

Miami (OH) returned no starters on offense from last season, and the unit showed clear growing pains, managing only 117 total yards and going 0-for-9 on third-down conversions. This lack of rhythm and execution will need to be addressed quickly.

Quarterback performance issues

Dequan Finn, the former MAC MVP from Toledo, completed just 9 of 18 passes for 83 yards with two interceptions, failing to generate any scoring drives. His accuracy and decision-making under pressure will be critical areas for improvement.

Defense held up but offense failed to capitalize

While the defense allowed 353 yards, they kept the game close for much of the first half, trailing only 3-0 at halftime. However, the offense's inability to sustain drives or score put the defense in difficult positions, leading to a shutout loss.

Next game: at Rutgers

Miami (OH) will travel to face Rutgers next, needing to quickly fix offensive cohesion and quarterback play to compete against a Big Ten opponent. The team must improve third-down efficiency and avoid turnovers to have a chance.

What were the weather conditions for Miami (OH) vs Wisconsin?

At kickoff, conditions at Camp Randall Stadium were Clear, 54°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Miami (OH) travels 345 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Miami (OH) arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Wisconsin won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Miami (OH) covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 23.5 points.

How do Miami (OH) and Wisconsin compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Wisconsin (1.7) over Miami (OH) (-8.2) by 9.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Wisconsin brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Wisconsin won and Miami (OH) covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2025 Game-time

Clear

54°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity94%
Wind6 mph ESE
Gusts13 mph
Wind map for Miami (OH) at Wisconsin: aerial view of Camp Randall Stadium, wind from the ESE at 6 mph, gusting to 12.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
08:00 PM CDT
Venue
Camp Randall Stadium
Capacity
76,057
Elevation
909 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Miami (OH)Away WisconsinHome
This week345 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total345 miles0 miles
Body clock21:0020:00
RestSeason openerSeason opener