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Week 1 •
SHI Stadium

Ohio31 @FINAL 34Rutgers

0-0 MAC Power rating: -2.2
0-0 Big Ten Power rating: -0.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
RUTG -11.5
PM Implied
RUTG -11.4
Blue Chip model
RUTG -3.4
Edge
-8.1OHIO
See details
◂ favors OHIOfavors RUTG ▸Market: RUTG -11.5
RUTG
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
RUTG
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 OHIO5 RUTGModel: RUTG -3.4

Betting information

Spread
RUTG -11.5
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
OHIO 17.5 – 29.0 RUTG
Prediction markets
RUTG 87% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 10, 2026

Rutgers defeated Ohio 34–31 in a nail-biter. Ohio covered by 8.5; Game went Over by 18.5. The market closed at Rutgers -11.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Rutgers -3.4 - a gap of 8.1 points toward Ohio, of which 7.4 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Ohio vs Rutgers?

At kickoff, conditions at SHI Stadium were Partly cloudy, 69°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Ohio travels 414 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Rutgers won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Ohio covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 18.5 points.

How do Ohio and Rutgers compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Rutgers (-0.7) over Ohio (-2.2) by 1.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Rutgers brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Ohio and Rutgers?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Rutgers won and Ohio covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 28, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

69°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity53%
Wind9 mph SSW
Gusts15 mph
Wind map for Ohio at Rutgers: aerial view of SHI Stadium, wind from the SSW at 8.9 mph, gusting to 14.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM EDT
Venue
SHI Stadium
Capacity
52,454
Elevation
69 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

OhioAway RutgersHome
This week414 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total414 miles0 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
RestSeason openerSeason opener

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