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Week 1 •
Carter-Finley Stadium

East Carolina17 @FINAL 24NC State

0-0 American Power rating: 4.5
0-0 ACC Power rating: 2.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
NCSU -12.5
PM Implied
NCSU -10.0
Blue Chip model
NCSU -1.4
Edge
-11.1ECU
See details
◂ favors ECUfavors NCSU ▸Market: NCSU -12.5
ECU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
NCSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 ECU5 NCSU10 ECU10 NCSUModel: NCSU -1.4

Betting information

Spread
NCSU -12.5
Total
58.5
Odds implied score
ECU 23.0 – 35.5 NCSU
Prediction markets
NCSU 84% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 10, 2026

NC State defeated East Carolina 24–17 in a one-score game. East Carolina covered by 5.5; Game went Under by 17.5. The market closed at NC State -12.5 and the Blue Chip model made it NC State -1.4 - a gap of 11.1 points toward East Carolina, of which 10.4 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for East Carolina vs NC State?

At kickoff, conditions at Carter-Finley Stadium were Clear, 73°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

East Carolina travels 77 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

NC State won by 7 in a one-score game.

East Carolina covered the spread.

The total went Under by 17.5 points.

How do East Carolina and NC State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor East Carolina (4.5) over NC State (2.5) by 2.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, NC State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. NC State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on East Carolina and NC State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

NC State won and East Carolina covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 28, 2025 Game-time

Clear

73°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity54%
Wind8 mph SSW
Gusts14 mph
Wind map for East Carolina at NC State: aerial view of Carter-Finley Stadium, wind from the SSW at 7.6 mph, gusting to 13.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EDT
Venue
Carter-Finley Stadium
Capacity
56,919
Elevation
410 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

East CarolinaAway NC StateHome
This week77 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total77 miles0 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
RestSeason openerSeason opener

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