Week 3
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

UT Martin @ Memphis , Week 3, Sep 19, 2026

0-0 OVC Power rating: -27.6
0-0 American Power rating: 0.4

Is there value in the UT Martin vs Memphis line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MEM -30.5
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors UTMfavors MEM ▸
28.0 › MEM
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MEM
1 UTM1 MEM2 UTM2 MEMModel: MEM -30.5

Memphis (power rating: 0.4) holds a 28.0-point advantage over UT Martin (-27.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Memphis's home field adds 2.2 points to that advantage at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect UT Martin vs Memphis at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium?

The latest reading for Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium shows Clear, 80°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do UT Martin and Memphis compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Memphis (0.4) over UT Martin (-27.6) by 28.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Memphis brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Memphis -30.5. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

80°F

Rain5%
Precip0.00"
Humidity47%
Wind8 mph E
Gusts18 mph
Wind map for UT Martin at Memphis: aerial view of Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, wind from the E at 7.6 mph, gusting to 18.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Capacity
50,000
Elevation
315 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure UT MartinAway MemphisHome
This week105 miles0 miles
Last week1,073 miles3,026 miles
Season total1,178 miles5,859 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days

UT Martin travels 105 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.