Week 11 •
Beaver Stadium

Minnesota @ Penn State , Week 11, Nov 14, 2026

4-1 Big Ten Power rating: 8.1
3-2 Big Ten Power rating: 11.8

Is there value in the Minnesota vs Penn State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
PSU -5.3
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors MINNfavors PSU ▸
3.7 › PSU
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MINN
1 MINN1 PSU2 MINN2 PSUModel: PSU -5.3

Penn State (power rating: 11.8) holds a 3.7-point advantage over Minnesota (8.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Penn State's home field adds 2.1 points to that advantage at Beaver Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Minnesota vs Penn State at Beaver Stadium?

The latest reading for Beaver Stadium shows Clear, 49°F, wind chill 43°F with winds of 16 mph. Wind of 16 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 32 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Minnesota and Penn State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Penn State (11.8) over Minnesota (8.1) by 3.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Penn State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Penn State -5.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

49°F

Rain10%
Precip0.00"
Humidity78%
Wind16 mph NW
Gusts32 mph
Wind chill43°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Minnesota at Penn State: aerial view of Beaver Stadium, wind from the NW at 15.7 mph, gusting to 31.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Beaver Stadium
Capacity
106,572
Elevation
1,178 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure MinnesotaAway Penn StateHome
This week830 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game4,449 miles
Season total5,573 miles6,438 miles
Body clock23:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Minnesota travels 830 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Minnesota arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.