North Dakota State (power rating: 0.9) carries a 17.3-point advantage over Hawai'i (-16.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Hawai'i's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8) narrows that gap at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Beyond home field, the model also charges North Dakota State's bye week, North Dakota State's westward trip and the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex shows Clear, 77°F with winds of 27 mph. Wind of 27 mph is the most significant condition here. Across 3,138 games, sustained wind at or above 15 mph moved the total down by about 1.7 points from open to close, and the effect is on the total rather than the side. Gusts reaching 33 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
77°F
| Measure | North Dakota StateAway | Hawai'iHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 3,804 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | 6,457 miles |
| Season total | 12,246 miles | 32,131 miles |
| Body clock | 22:59 | 18:59 |
| Rest | 15 days | 8 days |
North Dakota State travels 3,804 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 4 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.
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