Week 11
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

North Dakota State @ Hawai'i , Week 11, Nov 15, 2026

1-0 MW Power rating: -12.8
0-1 MW Power rating: -6.3

Is there value in the North Dakota State vs Hawai'i line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
HAW -9.9
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ND Stfavors HAW ▸
6.5 › HAW
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2 ND St2 HAW4 ND St4 HAWModel: HAW -9.9

Hawai'i (power rating: -6.3) holds a 6.5-point advantage over North Dakota State (-12.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Hawai'i's home field adds 3.8 points to that advantage at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Beyond home field, the model also charges North Dakota State's bye week, North Dakota State's westward trip and the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect North Dakota State vs Hawai'i at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex?

The latest reading for Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex shows Overcast, 77°F with winds of 17 mph. Wind of 17 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do North Dakota State and Hawai'i compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Hawai'i (-6.3) over North Dakota State (-12.8) by 6.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Hawai'i brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Hawai'i -9.9. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

77°F

Rain18%
Precip0.00"
Humidity70%
Wind17 mph ENE
Gusts20 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for North Dakota State at Hawai'i: aerial view of Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, wind from the ENE at 17.4 mph, gusting to 19.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
06:59 PM HST
Venue
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Capacity
16,909
Elevation
75 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure North Dakota StateAway Hawai'iHome
This week3,804 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week6,457 miles
Season total12,246 miles32,131 miles
Body clock22:5918:59
Rest15 days8 days

North Dakota State travels 3,804 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 4 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.