Houston defeated Arizona State 24–16 in a one-score game. Houston covered by 15.0; Game went Under by 6.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Arizona State 3.7 points stronger on a neutral field.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Mountain America Stadium were Clear, 70.0°F, Feels Like 70.0°F with winds of 2.7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
70.0°F
Arizona State's 10-game home winning streak ended with a 24-16 loss to Houston, damaging their Big 12 title hopes.
The Sun Devils played without leading receiver Jordyn Tyson (hamstring) and fell behind 24-0, with QB Sam Leavitt under constant pressure and backup Jeff Sims unable to mount a full comeback.
Arizona State committed 12 penalties, lost a fumble, had a player ejected for targeting, and missed two field goals, contributing to their inability to overcome the deficit.
QB Sam Leavitt left the game in the first quarter after a hard hit but returned, finishing with 270 passing yards; however, the early 10-0 hole proved too much to overcome.
Arizona State (5-3, 3-2) travels to face Iowa State on Saturday, needing a win to stay competitive in the Big 12 race after this damaging loss.
Houston travels 1,010 miles to this game, a significant road trip.
Houston arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.
Houston won by 8 in a one-score game.
Houston covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Under by 6.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arizona State (11.2) over Houston (7.5) by 3.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Arizona State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Houston won and Houston covered the spread.
