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Week 9 •
Mountain America Stadium

Houston24 @FINAL 16Arizona State

6-1 Big 12 Power rating: 7.5
5-2 Big 12 Power rating: 11.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ASU -7.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ASU -6.6
Edge
-0.4HOU
See details
◂ favors HOUfavors ASU ▸Market: ASU -7.0
3.7 › ASU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ASU
no impact
ASU
no impact
no impact
1 HOU1 ASU2 HOU2 ASUModel: ASU -6.6

Betting information

Spread
ASU -7.0
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
HOU 19.8 – 26.8 ASU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Houston defeated Arizona State 24–16 in a one-score game. Houston covered by 15.0; Game went Under by 6.5. The market closed at Arizona State -7.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Arizona State -6.6. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Arizona State 3.7 points stronger on a neutral field.

What are the key factors for Houston vs Arizona State?

Arizona State

Home winning streak snapped

Arizona State's 10-game home winning streak ended with a 24-16 loss to Houston, damaging their Big 12 title hopes.

Offensive struggles without top receiver

The Sun Devils played without leading receiver Jordyn Tyson (hamstring) and fell behind 24-0, with QB Sam Leavitt under constant pressure and backup Jeff Sims unable to mount a full comeback.

Penalties and missed opportunities

Arizona State committed 12 penalties, lost a fumble, had a player ejected for targeting, and missed two field goals, contributing to their inability to overcome the deficit.

Leavitt's injury and return

QB Sam Leavitt left the game in the first quarter after a hard hit but returned, finishing with 270 passing yards; however, the early 10-0 hole proved too much to overcome.

Next game at Iowa State

Arizona State (5-3, 3-2) travels to face Iowa State on Saturday, needing a win to stay competitive in the Big 12 race after this damaging loss.

What were the weather conditions for Houston vs Arizona State?

At kickoff, conditions at Mountain America Stadium were Clear, 70°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Houston travels 1,010 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Houston won by 8 in a one-score game.

Houston covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 6.5 points.

How do Houston and Arizona State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Arizona State (11.2) over Houston (7.5) by 3.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Arizona State brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Houston and Arizona State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Houston won and Houston covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 26, 2025 Game-time

Clear

70°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity49%
Wind3 mph ESE
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for Houston at Arizona State: aerial view of Mountain America Stadium, wind from the ESE at 2.7 mph, gusting to 5.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
05:00 PM MST
Venue
Mountain America Stadium
Capacity
53,599
Elevation
1,220 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

HoustonAway Arizona StateHome
This week1,010 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total5,594 miles5,428 miles
Body clock19:0017:00
Rest8 days8 days

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