Week 9
Autzen Stadium

Wisconsin7 @FINAL 21Oregon , Week 9, Oct 25, 2025

2-5 Big Ten Power rating: 3.5
6-1 Big Ten Power rating: 28.4

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ORE -31.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ORE -27.5
Edge
-4.0WIS
See details
◂ favors WISfavors ORE ▸Market: ORE -31.5
24.9 › ORE
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ORE
no impact
ORE
no impact
WIS
2 WIS2 ORE4 WIS4 OREModel: ORE -27.5

Betting information

Spread
ORE -31.5
Total
44.5
Odds implied score
WIS 6.5 – 38.0 ORE

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Oregon defeated Wisconsin 21–7 in a double-digit victory. Wisconsin covered by 17.5; Game went Under by 16.5. The market closed at Oregon -31.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Oregon -27.5, an edge of 4.0 points toward Wisconsin.

What are the key factors for Wisconsin vs Oregon?

Wisconsin

Offensive drought finally ends

Wisconsin snapped an 11-quarter scoring drought with a late touchdown, but still managed only 7 points. The offense remains ineffective, with quarterback Hunter Simmons throwing for 86 yards, a touchdown, and an interception.

Injuries decimate key positions

The Badgers were missing top running backs Dilin Jones and Darrion Dupree, leading tackler Christian Alliegro, both starting centers, and other key players. This has severely limited offensive production and defensive stability.

Sixth straight loss and winless in Big Ten

Wisconsin has lost six consecutive games and is 0-5 in conference play. The team's morale is low, but coach Luke Fickell emphasized the importance of incremental progress, starting with scoring points.

Defense shows resilience despite loss

Despite the offensive struggles, the defense held No. 6 Oregon to 21 points, including a slow start where Oregon had only 21 yards in the first quarter. The defense kept the game close for much of the contest.

Next game against Washington

Wisconsin hosts Washington on Nov. 8. The team will need to address offensive consistency and injury issues to have a chance at ending their losing streak.

Oregon

Slow start and offensive struggles

Oregon had only 21 yards of total offense, including minus-16 rushing yards, and two first downs in the first quarter, scoring their first touchdown late in the first half. This lackluster performance against a struggling Wisconsin team may indicate offensive inconsistency.

Reliance on running game in wet conditions

Jordon Davison ran for 102 yards and two touchdowns, carrying the offense in rainy weather. The Ducks leaned heavily on the run, which could be a key strategy if similar conditions arise against Iowa.

Quarterback injury concern

Dante Moore left the game with a face injury in the third quarter, though coach Dan Lanning described it as a 'ding' and expects him to be fine. Backup Brock Thomas performed well, throwing a touchdown pass, but Moore's status for next week is worth monitoring.

Defensive dominance against weak opponent

Oregon held Wisconsin to just 7 points, snapping the Badgers' scoreless streak but still allowing a late touchdown. The defense was effective but faced an injury-riddled Wisconsin offense, so their performance may not fully translate against a stronger opponent.

National perception and momentum

The uninspired win against a team with a six-game losing streak may not boost Oregon's national profile. Coming off a home loss to Indiana, the Ducks need a stronger showing at Iowa to maintain playoff hopes.

What were the weather conditions for Wisconsin vs Oregon?

At kickoff, conditions at Autzen Stadium were Overcast, 49°F, wind chill 44°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Wisconsin travels 1,679 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Oregon won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Wisconsin covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 16.5 points.

How do Wisconsin and Oregon compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Oregon (28.4) over Wisconsin (3.5) by 24.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Oregon brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Oregon won and Wisconsin covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

49°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity89%
Wind11 mph SW
Gusts18 mph
Wind chill44°F
Wind map for Wisconsin at Oregon: aerial view of Autzen Stadium, wind from the SW at 10.7 mph, gusting to 17.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
04:00 PM PDT
Venue
Autzen Stadium
Capacity
54,000
Elevation
443 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure WisconsinAway OregonHome
This week1,679 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game4,933 miles
Season total3,642 miles13,087 miles
Body clock18:0016:00
Rest7 days7 days