DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Texas defeated Mississippi State 45–38 in a one-score game. Mississippi State covered by 1.5; Game went Over by 34.5. The market closed at Texas -8.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas -6.2, an edge of 2.3 points toward Mississippi State.
Mississippi State's offense had a career day with 445 total yards and QB Blake Shapen throwing for 381 yards and 4 TDs, but the defense allowed Texas to erase a 17-point fourth-quarter lead and force overtime, extending their SEC losing streak to 16 games.
The Bulldogs led 38-21 with 12:29 left but surrendered 17 unanswered points in regulation, including a punt return TD and a late field goal, highlighting a recurring issue of failing to finish SEC games under coach Jeff Lebby.
Mississippi State recorded 5 sacks and 12 tackles for loss, but Texas countered with 7 sacks, including 4 on Shapen in the final 5 minutes of regulation and overtime, disrupting the Bulldogs' rhythm when it mattered most.
Mississippi State (4-4, 0-4 SEC) travels to Arkansas next week, needing to break their conference losing streak. The Bulldogs must improve their late-game execution and pass protection to compete against another tough SEC opponent.
At kickoff, conditions at Davis Wade Stadium were Overcast, 69°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Overcast
69°F
| Measure | TexasAway | Mississippi StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 569 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 1,851 miles | 923 miles |
| Season total | 6,761 miles | 2,192 miles |
| Body clock | 15:15 | 15:15 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
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