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Week 9 •
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)

Ole Miss34 @FINAL 26Oklahoma

6-1 SEC Power rating: 21.5
6-1 SEC Power rating: 20.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
OU -5.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
OU -1.2
Edge
-4.3MISS
See details
◂ favors MISSfavors OU ▸Market: OU -5.5
MISS
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
OU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 MISS2 OU4 MISS4 OUModel: OU -1.2

Betting information

Spread
OU -5.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
MISS 23.5 – 29.0 OU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Ole Miss defeated Oklahoma 34–26 in a one-score game. Ole Miss covered by 13.5; Game went Over by 7.5. The market closed at Oklahoma -5.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Oklahoma -1.2 - a gap of 4.3 points toward Ole Miss, of which 3.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Ole Miss vs Oklahoma?

Ole Miss

Resilient Response After Georgia Loss

Ole Miss showed mental toughness by bouncing back from a late collapse against Georgia, closing out a tight game against Oklahoma without panicking, which bodes well for handling pressure in future games.

Offensive Explosion Against Top Defense

The Rebels amassed 431 yards against Oklahoma's nation-leading total defense, with QB Chambliss throwing for 315 yards and rushing for 53, proving their offense can succeed against elite units.

Kewan Lacy's Consistent Rushing

Lacy rushed for 78 yards and two touchdowns, extending his streak of scoring in all but one game this season, providing a reliable ground game that will be key against South Carolina.

Red Zone Efficiency Concerns

Ole Miss settled for four field goals instead of touchdowns, nearly costing them the game; improving red zone conversion will be critical to avoid close finishes against upcoming opponents.

Defensive Takeaways Seal Win

A forced fumble by Trace Bruckler in the fourth quarter halted Oklahoma's momentum and set up a field goal, highlighting the defense's ability to make game-changing plays in crunch time.

What were the weather conditions for Ole Miss vs Oklahoma?

At kickoff, conditions at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) were Cloudy, 65°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Ole Miss travels 453 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Ole Miss won by 8 in a one-score game.

Ole Miss covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 7.5 points.

How do Ole Miss and Oklahoma compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ole Miss (21.5) over Oklahoma (20.0) by 1.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Oklahoma faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Oklahoma brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Ole Miss and Oklahoma?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Ole Miss won and Ole Miss covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

65°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity81%
Wind6 mph S
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for Ole Miss at Oklahoma: aerial view of Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK), wind from the S at 5.6 mph, gusting to 6.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
11:00 AM CDT
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Capacity
80,126
Elevation
1,194 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Ole MissAway OklahomaHome
This week453 miles0 miles
Last week708 miles1,878 miles
Season total1,917 miles4,744 miles
Body clock11:0011:00
Rest7 days7 days

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