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Week 9 •
Rynearson Stadium

Ohio28 @FINAL 21Eastern Michigan

4-3 MAC Power rating: 1.3
2-6 MAC Power rating: -15.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
OHIO -11.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
OHIO -15.5
Edge
-4.0OHIO
See details
◂ favors OHIOfavors EMU ▸Market: OHIO -11.5
‹ 17.0 OHIO
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
EMU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 OHIO2 EMU4 OHIO4 EMUModel: OHIO -15.5

Betting information

Spread
OHIO -11.5
Total
60.5
Odds implied score
OHIO 36.0 – 24.5 EMU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Ohio defeated Eastern Michigan 28–21 in a one-score game. Eastern Michigan covered by 4.5; Game went Under by 11.5. The market closed at Ohio -11.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Ohio -15.5 - a gap of 4.0 points toward Ohio, of which 3.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Ohio vs Eastern Michigan?

Eastern Michigan

Late Rally Falls Short

Eastern Michigan scored a touchdown with 1:39 remaining to cut the deficit to 28-21, but failed to recover the onside kick, leaving them unable to tie the game. This shows the team's resilience but also their inability to finish close games.

Passing Game Shows Promise

Quarterback Noah Kim threw for 259 yards and two touchdowns, both to Nick Devereaux, who had 121 receiving yards. This passing attack could be a key factor in future games if the offensive line provides better protection.

Defensive Struggles in Second Half

After leading at halftime, the defense allowed Ohio to score on three consecutive second-half drives of 67, 70, and 69 yards. This inability to stop the run (Bangura 100 yards) and big plays (Hendricks 112 yards) must be addressed.

Turnover Margin Not a Factor

Despite Ohio's quarterback throwing two interceptions, Eastern Michigan failed to capitalize, scoring only 7 points off those turnovers. Improving red zone efficiency and converting turnovers into points is crucial.

Tackling Issues Persist

Bryce Llewellyn led with 13 tackles, but the defense allowed 315 passing yards and 163 rushing yards, indicating missed tackles and poor gap discipline. This must improve to compete in future MAC matchups.

What were the weather conditions for Ohio vs Eastern Michigan?

At kickoff, conditions at Rynearson Stadium were Partly cloudy, 51°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Ohio travels 218 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Ohio won by 7 in a one-score game.

Eastern Michigan covered the spread.

The total went Under by 11.5 points.

How do Ohio and Eastern Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ohio (1.3) over Eastern Michigan (-15.7) by 17.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Eastern Michigan faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Eastern Michigan brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Ohio and Eastern Michigan?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Ohio won and Eastern Michigan covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

51°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity56%
Wind5 mph SE
Gusts6 mph
Wind map for Ohio at Eastern Michigan: aerial view of Rynearson Stadium, wind from the SE at 4.7 mph, gusting to 5.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EDT
Venue
Rynearson Stadium
Capacity
26,188
Elevation
810 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

OhioAway Eastern MichiganHome
This week218 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game394 miles
Season total1,555 miles4,038 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest7 days7 days

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