Week 9 • October 25, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
4-3
Big 12
Power Rank: 10.5
20 FINAL 41
6-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 10.6
Cincinnati covered by 16.5 | Game went Under by 7.5

Cincinnati defeated Baylor 41–20 to secure a comfortable win.

Baylor @ Cincinnati Preview

General Information

Week: Week 9
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Nippert Stadium
Capacity: 38,088
Elevation: 778 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Cincinnati -4.5
Total (O/U) 68.5
Expected Score BAY 32.0 - 36.5 CIN
Power Rank Implied Line Even

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Moderate snow

Moderate snow

27.9°F

Wind Chill: 20.8°F
Wind: 6.5 mph WSW
Gusts: 10.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 97%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 100%

Travel & Rest

Baylor (Away)

This Week: 881.2 miles
Last Week: 161.4 miles
Season Total: 1852.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 7

Cincinnati (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1436.5 miles
Season Total: 5350.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Cincinnati -4.5
Total Points 68.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Baylor 10.5
Cincinnati 10.6
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 881 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Nippert Stadium
Capacity 38,088
Elevation 778 ft
Weather: Moderate snow
Temperature 27.9°F
Wind Speed 6.5 mph
Your Line Cincinnati +0.1
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Baylor vs Cincinnati?

Baylor: Key Factors

Cincinnati: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Baylor travels 881 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Baylor arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Cincinnati won by 21 to secure a comfortable win.

Cincinnati covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 7.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Nippert Stadium?

At 27.9°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Baylor and Cincinnati compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate Baylor (10.5) and Cincinnati (10.6) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, HFA, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. Cincinnati brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Cincinnati won and Cincinnati covered the spread.