Air Force defeated Wyoming 24–21 in a nail-biter. Wyoming covered by 1.0; Game went Under by 11.5.
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At kick-off, conditions at Falcon Stadium were Clear, 49.3°F, Wind Chill 48.0°F with winds of 8.7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
49.3°F
Air Force ended a five-game losing streak with a 24-21 win over Wyoming, improving to 2-5 overall and 1-4 in Mountain West play. This victory could provide a much-needed confidence boost for the team.
Liam Szarka rushed for 141 yards and a touchdown, marking his fifth consecutive 100-yard game (an Air Force record). Owen Allen added 105 yards, and the team extended its streak of 100+ rushing yards to 92 games, the longest in FBS. This ground game will be key in future matchups.
Despite entering the game with the worst defense in FBS (allowing 40 points and 496.7 yards per game), Air Force intercepted two fourth-quarter passes from Wyoming quarterbacks. Roger Jones picked off a pass in the end zone, and Max Mustell's interception set up the go-ahead field goal. These turnovers were pivotal in securing the win.
Air Force's defense still allowed 409 total yards and 21 points to Wyoming, including a late touchdown. With the defense ranking 134th in scoring and last in total and passing yards allowed, opponents may exploit these weaknesses in upcoming games.
Kade Frew scored on a fourth-and-1 run to take the lead, and Reagan Tubbs hit a 41-yard field goal into the wind to extend the lead. These plays highlight Air Force's ability to execute in critical moments, which could be a factor in close games ahead.
Wyoming travels 164 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Air Force won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Wyoming covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Under by 11.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Air Force (-6.1) over Wyoming (-7.1) by 1.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Air Force brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Air Force won and Wyoming covered the spread.
