Week 8October 18, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
24
5-1
Big Ten
Power Rank: 21.5
@
FINAL
34
4-2
Independent
Power Rank: 25.3

By · Last updated

Notre Dame defeated USC 34–24 in a double-digit victory. USC covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 2.5.

General Information

Week: Week 8
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Notre Dame Stadium
Capacity: 77,622
Elevation: 755 ft
HFA Rating: 3.0
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Notre Dame -10.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Odds Implied Score USC 25.0 - 35.5 ND
Power Rank Implied Line Notre Dame -3.8
Prediction Markets Notre Dame 77% Win Chance (Kalshi)
USC @ Notre Dame Preview

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Notre Dame
Home field: Notre Dame Stadium
Weather: Overcast
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for USC vs Notre Dame?

At kick-off, conditions at Notre Dame Stadium were Overcast, 65.5°F, Feels Like 65.5°F with winds of 6.9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: October 18, 2025
Overcast

Overcast

65.5°F

Feels Like: 65.5°F
Wind: 6.9 mph SSE
Gusts: 12.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.74"
Humidity: 47%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

USC (Away)

This Week: 1819.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 8778.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 7

Notre Dame (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3430.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for USC vs Notre Dame?

Notre Dame: Key Factors

Explosive Running Game

Jeremiyah Love rushed for a career-high 228 yards and a touchdown, showcasing a dominant ground attack that will be key against Boston College's defense.

Special Teams Spark

Jadarian Price's 100-yard kickoff return for a touchdown in the third quarter shifted momentum, highlighting Notre Dame's ability to score in non-offensive ways.

Second-Half Defensive Adjustments

After a shaky first half, Notre Dame's defense forced key turnovers (interception by Christian Gray, fumble recovery by Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa) and stopped USC on fourth down, showing resilience that will be crucial in close games.

Quarterback Efficiency

C.J. Carr managed the game effectively, completing 16 of 26 passes for 136 yards and a touchdown, plus a rushing score, providing steady leadership without turnovers.

Bye Week Preparation

Notre Dame has a bye week before facing Boston College, allowing extra time to rest and prepare, which could lead to a sharper performance on the road.

What happened in the game?

USC travels 1,819 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

USC arrives with a 3-hour body clock disadvantage.

Notre Dame won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

USC covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

How do USC and Notre Dame compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Notre Dame (25.3) over USC (21.5) by 3.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Notre Dame brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Notre Dame won and USC covered the spread.