DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Troy defeated UL Monroe 37–14 to secure a comfortable win. Troy covered by 18.5; Game went Over by 5.5. The market closed at Troy -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Troy -10.3 - a gap of 5.8 points toward Troy, of which 4.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
After pulling within 17-14 in the third quarter, UL Monroe's offense stalled, allowing Troy to score 20 unanswered points. The Warhawks must find ways to sustain drives and finish in the red zone to stay competitive.
Quarterback Aidan Armenta threw two interceptions, including a 53-yard pick-six that sealed the loss. Protecting the ball will be critical for UL Monroe to avoid giving opponents short fields and easy scores.
Armenta completed 19 of 33 passes for 171 yards and a touchdown, indicating potential in the passing attack. Building on this efficiency could help the offense generate more consistent scoring.
UL Monroe's defense allowed Troy to score 20 points in the second half after a competitive first half. Improving third-down defense and limiting explosive plays will be key to keeping games close.
At kickoff, conditions at Malone Stadium were Clear, 81°F, heat index 84°F with winds of 15 mph. Gusts reaching 23 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
81°F
| Measure | TroyAway | UL MonroeHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 362 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 1,447 miles | 1,522 miles |
| Season total | 4,077 miles | 5,150 miles |
| Body clock | 14:00 | 14:00 |
| Rest | 6 days | 7 days |
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