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Week 8 •
Mountain America Stadium

Texas Tech22 @FINAL 26Arizona State

6-0 Big 12 Power rating: 22.1
4-2 Big 12 Power rating: 9.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TTU -7.5
PM Implied
TTU -5.7
Blue Chip model
TTU -9.6
Edge
-2.1TTU
See details
◂ favors TTUfavors ASU ▸Market: TTU -7.5
‹ 12.5 TTU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ASU
no impact
ASU
no impact
no impact
1 TTU1 ASU2 TTU2 ASUModel: TTU -9.6

Betting information

Spread
TTU -7.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
TTU 30.0 – 22.5 ASU
Prediction markets
TTU 72% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Arizona State defeated Texas Tech 26–22 in a closely contested finish. Arizona State covered by 11.5; Game went Under by 4.5. The market closed at Texas Tech -7.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas Tech -9.6, an edge of 2.1 points toward Texas Tech. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Texas Tech 12.5 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Texas Tech vs Arizona State?

At kickoff, conditions at Mountain America Stadium were Clear, 78°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Texas Tech travels 581 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Arizona State won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Arizona State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 4.5 points.

How do Texas Tech and Arizona State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas Tech (22.1) over Arizona State (9.6) by 12.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Arizona State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Arizona State brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Texas Tech and Arizona State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Arizona State won and Arizona State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2025 Game-time

Clear

78°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity42%
Wind3 mph WSW
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for Texas Tech at Arizona State: aerial view of Mountain America Stadium, wind from the WSW at 2.9 mph, gusting to 4.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
01:00 PM MST
Venue
Mountain America Stadium
Capacity
53,599
Elevation
1,220 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Texas TechAway Arizona StateHome
This week581 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,011 miles
Season total2,994 miles5,428 miles
Body clock15:0013:00
Rest7 days6 days

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