Week 8 • October 18, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
6-0
Big 12
Power Rank: 22.1
22 FINAL 26
4-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 9.6
Arizona State covered by 15.5 | Game went Under by 0.5

Arizona State defeated Texas Tech 26–22 in a closely contested finish. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Texas Tech 12.5 points stronger on a neutral field.

Texas Tech @ Arizona State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 8
Kick Off (at stadium): 01:00 PM MST
Stadium: Mountain America Stadium
Capacity: 53,599
Elevation: 1220 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Texas Tech -11.5
Total (O/U) 48.5
Expected Score TTU 30.0 - 18.5 ASU
Power Rank Implied Line Texas Tech +12.5
Prediction Markets Texas Tech 72% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

66.6°F

Feels Like: 66.6°F
Wind: 2.0 mph S
Gusts: 4.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 29%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Texas Tech (Away)

This Week: 580.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2994.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 7

Arizona State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1011.5 miles
Season Total: 5427.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Texas Tech -11.5
Total Points 48.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Texas Tech 22.1
Arizona State 9.6
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 581 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Mountain America Stadium
Capacity 53,599
Elevation 1220 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 66.6°F
Wind Speed 2.0 mph
Your Line Arizona State -12.5
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Texas Tech vs Arizona State?

Texas Tech: Key Factors

Arizona State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Texas Tech travels 581 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Texas Tech arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Arizona State won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Arizona State covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 0.5 points.

How do Texas Tech and Arizona State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Texas Tech (22.1) over Arizona State (9.6) by 12.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Arizona State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Arizona State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Arizona State won and Arizona State covered the spread.