DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Iowa defeated Penn State 25–24 in a nail-biter. Penn State covered by 2.0; Game went Over by 7.5. The market closed at Iowa -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Iowa -5.7, an edge of 2.7 points toward Iowa.
Penn State lost 25-24 to Iowa, marking their fourth straight defeat and first game under interim coach Terry Smith after James Franklin's firing. The team showed effort but failed to execute in critical moments.
Kaytron Allen rushed for 145 yards and two touchdowns, providing a reliable ground game. This performance suggests Penn State can lean on the run against Ohio State.
Ethan Grunkemeyer threw two interceptions, including one returned to the 1-yard line that set up an Iowa touchdown. His inconsistency under pressure is a concern heading into a tough road game at Ohio State.
The defense forced a blocked field goal returned for a touchdown and stopped Iowa on a 2-point conversion, but allowed a 67-yard run and the go-ahead score late. They must improve on containing mobile quarterbacks.
Penn State travels to face Ohio State, a formidable opponent. The team needs to clean up turnovers and finish games to compete, but the loss of momentum and coaching change adds uncertainty.
At kickoff, conditions at Kinnick Stadium were Heavy rain at times, 57°F with winds of 16 mph. Wind of 16 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 26 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. There is a 100% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Heavy rain at times
57°F
| Measure | Penn StateAway | IowaHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 715 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 293 miles |
| Season total | 5,199 miles | 2,302 miles |
| Body clock | 19:00 | 18:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
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