Week 8 • October 18, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
1-5
MAC
Power Rank: -12.6
21 FINAL 48
3-3
MAC
Power Rank: -0.3
Ohio covered by 15.5 | Game went Over by 26.5

Ohio defeated Northern Illinois 48–21 to secure a comfortable win.

Northern Illinois @ Ohio Preview

General Information

Week: Week 8
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Peden Stadium
Capacity: 25,210
Elevation: 640 ft
HFA Rating: 2.7
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Ohio -11.5
Total (O/U) 42.5
Expected Score NIU 15.5 - 27.0 OHIO
Power Rank Implied Line Ohio +12.3
Prediction Markets Ohio 80% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Moderate snow

Moderate snow

27.3°F

Wind Chill: 19.0°F
Wind: 8.1 mph SW
Gusts: 12.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.02"
Humidity: 96%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 79%

Travel & Rest

Northern Illinois (Away)

This Week: 394.3 miles
Last Week: 529.3 miles
Season Total: 3403.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Ohio (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 1951.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Ohio -11.5
Total Points 42.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Northern Illinois -12.6
Ohio -0.3
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 394 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Ohio +7
HFA: Peden Stadium
Capacity 25,210
Elevation 640 ft
Weather: Moderate snow
Temperature 27.3°F
Wind Speed 8.1 mph
Your Line Ohio +12.3
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Northern Illinois vs Ohio?

Northern Illinois: Key Factors

Ohio: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Northern Illinois travels 394 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Northern Illinois arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Ohio won by 27 to secure a comfortable win.

Ohio covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 26.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Peden Stadium?

At 27.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Northern Illinois and Ohio compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Ohio (-0.3) over Northern Illinois (-12.6) by 12.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ohio brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Ohio won and Ohio covered the spread.