Ohio defeated Northern Illinois 48–21 to secure a comfortable win. Ohio covered by 16.5; Game went Over by 27.5.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Peden Stadium were Partly cloudy, 73.0°F, Feels Like 77.2°F with winds of 5.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
73.0°F
The Huskies managed only 293 total yards compared to Ohio's 538, and their offense failed to sustain drives, with five of the first seven possessions ending in punts. This lack of offensive consistency will need to be addressed to compete in future games.
Ohio's ground game dominated, with Sieh Bangura and Duncan Brune combining for 273 rushing yards and five touchdowns. Northern Illinois' defense allowed 538 total yards and was 5-for-5 in red zone defense, indicating a critical weakness that opponents will exploit.
Josh Holst completed 21 of 29 passes for 161 yards and two touchdowns, but the offense struggled overall. A costly fumble returned 91 yards for a touchdown by Ohio's Jalen Thomeson late in the game highlighted turnover issues that must be minimized.
Falling to 1-6 overall and 0-3 in MAC play, the Huskies are in a deep hole. The lack of competitive performance against Ohio suggests significant adjustments are needed to turn the season around.
Northern Illinois travels 394 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Northern Illinois arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Ohio won by 27 to secure a comfortable win.
Ohio covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Over by 27.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Ohio (-0.3) over Northern Illinois (-12.6) by 12.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ohio brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Ohio won and Ohio covered the spread.
