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Week 8 •
Jordan-Hare Stadium

Missouri23 @FINAL 17Auburn

5-1 SEC Power rating: 17.6
3-3 SEC Power rating: 12.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MIZ -1.5
PM Implied
MIZ -0.5
Blue Chip model
MIZ -4.1
Edge
-2.6MIZ
See details
◂ favors MIZfavors AUB ▸Market: MIZ -1.5
‹ 5.4 MIZ
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
AUB
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 MIZ1 AUB2 MIZ2 AUB3 MIZ3 AUBModel: MIZ -4.1

Betting information

Spread
MIZ -1.5
Total
43.5
Odds implied score
MIZ 22.5 – 21.0 AUB
Prediction markets
MIZ 53% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Missouri defeated Auburn 23–17 in a closely contested finish. Missouri covered by 4.5; Game went Under by 3.5. The market closed at Missouri -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Missouri -4.1, an edge of 2.6 points toward Missouri.

What are the key factors for Missouri vs Auburn?

Missouri

Resilient Road Win

Missouri bounced back from a home loss to Alabama by winning a tight overtime game at Auburn, showing mental toughness and a refusal to lose.

Defensive Strength

The defense allowed only a first-drive touchdown and then held Auburn to 10 points the rest of the game, including a key fourth-down stop in overtime.

Offensive Struggles and Key Plays

Quarterback Beau Pribula threw for 252 yards but had two interceptions; the offense relied on Ahmad Hardy's two rushing touchdowns, including a game-tying run late in regulation.

Next Week's Challenge

Missouri travels to face No. 17 Vanderbilt, a ranked opponent on the road, requiring continued defensive discipline and improved offensive consistency.

Auburn

Offensive Struggles Continue

Auburn's offense managed only 17 points, with Jackson Arnold throwing for 207 yards and his first interception of the season. The team has now lost 11 of its last 13 SEC games, highlighting persistent offensive inefficiency.

Kicking Woes Prove Costly

Kicker Alex McPherson missed three field goals, including a crucial miss in overtime that could have won the game. This inconsistency in special teams has been a recurring issue.

Defense Holds Strong but Not Enough

Auburn's defense forced two interceptions and held Missouri to 23 points in double overtime, but the offense failed to capitalize, continuing a pattern of strong defensive performances wasted by offensive shortcomings.

Freeze's Job Security in Question

Coach Hugh Freeze is 5-15 in SEC play and 9-10 at home, making him the third Auburn coach since 1948 with a losing record at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The team is 1-19 in its last 20 games against ranked opponents, raising doubts about his future.

Next Week at Arkansas

Auburn travels to Arkansas next Saturday, needing a win to keep bowl hopes alive. The Razorbacks present a winnable matchup, but Auburn must fix its offensive and kicking issues to compete.

What were the weather conditions for Missouri vs Auburn?

At kickoff, conditions at Jordan-Hare Stadium were Clear, 69°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Missouri travels 581 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Missouri won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Missouri covered the spread.

The total went Under by 3.5 points.

How do Missouri and Auburn compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Missouri (17.6) over Auburn (12.2) by 5.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Auburn faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Auburn brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Missouri and Auburn?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Missouri won and Missouri covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2025 Game-time

Clear

69°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity68%
Wind8 mph SSW
Gusts14 mph
Wind map for Missouri at Auburn: aerial view of Jordan-Hare Stadium, wind from the SSW at 8.3 mph, gusting to 14.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
06:45 PM CDT
Venue
Jordan-Hare Stadium
Capacity
88,043
Elevation
686 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

MissouriAway AuburnHome
This week581 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total581 miles4,098 miles
Body clock18:4518:45
Rest7 days7 days

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