Missouri defeated Auburn 23–17 in a closely contested finish. Missouri covered by 4.5; Game went Under by 3.5.
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At kick-off, conditions at Jordan-Hare Stadium were Clear, 69.3°F, Feels Like 69.3°F with winds of 8.3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
69.3°F
Missouri bounced back from a home loss to Alabama by winning a tight overtime game at Auburn, showing mental toughness and a refusal to lose.
The defense allowed only a first-drive touchdown and then held Auburn to 10 points the rest of the game, including a key fourth-down stop in overtime.
Quarterback Beau Pribula threw for 252 yards but had two interceptions; the offense relied on Ahmad Hardy's two rushing touchdowns, including a game-tying run late in regulation.
Missouri travels to face No. 17 Vanderbilt, a ranked opponent on the road, requiring continued defensive discipline and improved offensive consistency.
Auburn's offense managed only 17 points, with Jackson Arnold throwing for 207 yards and his first interception of the season. The team has now lost 11 of its last 13 SEC games, highlighting persistent offensive inefficiency.
Kicker Alex McPherson missed three field goals, including a crucial miss in overtime that could have won the game. This inconsistency in special teams has been a recurring issue.
Auburn's defense forced two interceptions and held Missouri to 23 points in double overtime, but the offense failed to capitalize, continuing a pattern of strong defensive performances wasted by offensive shortcomings.
Coach Hugh Freeze is 5-15 in SEC play and 9-10 at home, making him the third Auburn coach since 1948 with a losing record at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The team is 1-19 in its last 20 games against ranked opponents, raising doubts about his future.
Auburn travels to Arkansas next Saturday, needing a win to keep bowl hopes alive. The Razorbacks present a winnable matchup, but Auburn must fix its offensive and kicking issues to compete.
Missouri travels 581 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Missouri won by 6 in a closely contested finish.
Missouri covered the spread.
The total went Under by 3.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Missouri (17.6) over Auburn (12.2) by 5.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Auburn faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Auburn brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Missouri won and Missouri covered the spread.
