DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Toledo defeated Kent State 45–10 in a dominant performance. Toledo covered by 9.5; Game went Over by 6.5. The market closed at Toledo -25.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Toledo -29.8 - a gap of 4.3 points toward Toledo, of which 3.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Kent State scored a 75-yard touchdown on the first play and added a field goal to lead 10-0 after the first quarter, but then were shut out for the remainder of the game, managing only 84 total yards after the opening period.
The Golden Flashes' offense stalled completely after the initial burst, gaining just 84 yards in the final three quarters, which contributed to a 552-224 total yardage disadvantage.
Toledo's quarterback threw for 294 yards and four touchdowns, exposing Kent State's secondary and allowing big plays, including a 58-yard touchdown pass.
A blocked punt was recovered and returned for a 19-yard touchdown by Toledo, adding to Kent State's defensive woes and extending the deficit.
Despite a promising start, Kent State could not maintain any momentum, being outscored 45-0 after their initial 10-point lead, highlighting a lack of resilience and adjustments.
At kickoff, conditions at Glass Bowl were Partly cloudy, 78°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Partly cloudy
78°F
| Measure | Kent StateAway | ToledoHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 125 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 39 miles |
| Season total | 6,055 miles | 771 miles |
| Body clock | 14:00 | 14:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
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