Toledo defeated Kent State 45–10 in a dominant performance. Toledo covered by 9.5; Game went Over by 6.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Glass Bowl were Partly cloudy, 78.3°F, Feels Like 79.7°F with winds of 5.4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
78.3°F
Kent State scored a 75-yard touchdown on the first play and added a field goal to lead 10-0 after the first quarter, but then were shut out for the remainder of the game, managing only 84 total yards after the opening period.
The Golden Flashes' offense stalled completely after the initial burst, gaining just 84 yards in the final three quarters, which contributed to a 552-224 total yardage disadvantage.
Toledo's quarterback threw for 294 yards and four touchdowns, exposing Kent State's secondary and allowing big plays, including a 58-yard touchdown pass.
A blocked punt was recovered and returned for a 19-yard touchdown by Toledo, adding to Kent State's defensive woes and extending the deficit.
Despite a promising start, Kent State could not maintain any momentum, being outscored 45-0 after their initial 10-point lead, highlighting a lack of resilience and adjustments.
Kent State travels 125 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Toledo won by 35 in a dominant performance.
Toledo covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Over by 6.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Toledo (1.4) over Kent State (-25.2) by 26.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Toledo brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Toledo won and Toledo covered the spread.
