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Week 8 •
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Buffalo28 @FINAL 21Massachusetts

3-3 MAC Power rating: -9.9
0-6 MAC Power rating: -26.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
BUF -16.5
PM Implied
BUF -11.9
Blue Chip model
BUF -15.5
Edge
+1.0MASS
See details
◂ favors BUFfavors MASS ▸Market: BUF -16.5
‹ 16.8 BUF
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MASS
BUF
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 BUF1 MASS2 BUF2 MASSModel: BUF -15.5

Betting information

Spread
BUF -16.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
BUF 32.0 – 15.5 MASS
Prediction markets
BUF 88% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Buffalo defeated Massachusetts 28–21 in a one-score game. Massachusetts covered by 9.5; Game went Over by 1.5. The market closed at Buffalo -16.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Buffalo -15.5, an edge of 1.0 points toward Massachusetts.

What were the weather conditions for Buffalo vs Massachusetts?

At kickoff, conditions at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium were Partly cloudy, 55°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Buffalo travels 321 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Buffalo won by 7 in a one-score game.

Massachusetts covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 1.5 points.

How do Buffalo and Massachusetts compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Buffalo (-9.9) over Massachusetts (-26.7) by 16.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Massachusetts faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Massachusetts brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Buffalo and Massachusetts?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Buffalo won and Massachusetts covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

55°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity56%
Wind3 mph S
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for Buffalo at Massachusetts: aerial view of Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, wind from the S at 3.4 mph, gusting to 6.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM EDT
Venue
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Capacity
17,000
Elevation
157 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

BuffaloAway MassachusettsHome
This week321 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week923 miles
Season total2,150 miles5,008 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest14 days7 days

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