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Week 6 •
SECU Stadium

Washington24 @FINAL 20Maryland

3-1 Big Ten Power rating: 15.8
4-0 Big Ten Power rating: 3.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
WASH -5.5
PM Implied
WASH -4.2
Blue Chip model
WASH -8.8
Edge
-3.3WASH
See details
◂ favors WASHfavors MD ▸Market: WASH -5.5
‹ 12.4 WASH
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MD
MD
MD
no impact
no impact
1 WASH1 MD2 WASH2 MD3 WASH3 MDModel: WASH -8.8

Betting information

Spread
WASH -5.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
WASH 29.0 – 23.5 MD
Prediction markets
WASH 67% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Washington defeated Maryland 24–20 in a closely contested finish. Maryland covered by 1.5; Game went Under by 8.5. The market closed at Washington -5.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Washington -8.8, an edge of 3.3 points toward Washington.

What are the key factors for Washington vs Maryland?

Washington

Resilient comeback from 20-point deficit

Washington trailed 20-0 in the third quarter but rallied to win 24-20, showing mental toughness and ability to execute under pressure. This comeback could boost confidence heading into the next game.

Dominant fourth-quarter defense

The Huskies shut down Maryland's offense in the final quarter, allowing only 52 yards and no points on the Terrapins' last four drives. This defensive performance suggests Washington can clamp down when needed.

Offensive explosion in final five drives

Washington's last five drives produced 45 plays, 298 yards, and 24 points, including a game-winning touchdown. The offense found its rhythm late, which could carry over to the next game.

Quarterback Demond Williams Jr. key in rally

Williams threw two touchdown passes in the fourth quarter, including a 34-yard strike, and led the comeback with a calm mindset. His performance indicates he can be a reliable playmaker in close games.

First Big Ten road win since joining league

This victory marked Washington's first Big Ten road win, breaking a streak of struggles away from home. The experience of winning on the road could be valuable for upcoming away games.

Maryland

Collapse After Big Lead

Maryland led 20-0 in the third quarter but lost 24-20, failing to score on their final four drives (19 plays, 52 yards, 0 points) while Washington scored 24 unanswered points.

Offensive Imbalance in Second Half

The Terps abandoned the run despite a big lead, leading to three-and-outs and allowing Washington to rally. This lack of clock management and play-calling was a key factor in the loss.

Missed Opportunity and Trend

Coming off a big win at Wisconsin, Maryland failed to capitalize on home-field advantage. The loss continues a bizarre trend of not winning after a regular-season bye week since 2016.

Defensive Fatigue and Inability to Close

Maryland's defense wilted late, allowing Washington to score on four straight possessions (45 plays, 298 yards, 24 points) without forcing a turnover. The Terps could not stop the Huskies when it mattered.

Next Game vs Nebraska

Maryland hosts Nebraska on Saturday. To bounce back, they must improve offensive balance, maintain defensive intensity for four quarters, and avoid repeating the second-half collapse that cost them the game.

What were the weather conditions for Washington vs Maryland?

At kickoff, conditions at SECU Stadium were Clear, 74°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Washington travels 2,327 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.

Washington won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Maryland covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 8.5 points.

How do Washington and Maryland compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Washington (15.8) over Maryland (3.4) by 12.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Maryland faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Maryland brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Washington and Maryland?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Washington won and Maryland covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 4, 2025 Game-time

Clear

74°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity52%
Wind2 mph SE
Gusts4 mph
Wind map for Washington at Maryland: aerial view of SECU Stadium, wind from the SE at 2 mph, gusting to 4.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 6
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
SECU Stadium
Capacity
51,802
Elevation
148 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

WashingtonAway MarylandHome
This week2,327 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total2,828 miles1,417 miles
Body clock12:3015:30
Rest7 days14 days

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