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Week 5 •
University Stadium (NM)

New Mexico State20 @FINAL 38New Mexico

2-1 CUSA Power rating: -20.6
2-1 MW Power rating: -3.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UNM -16.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UNM -18.8
Edge
+2.3UNM
See details
◂ favors NMSUfavors UNM ▸Market: UNM -16.5
17.4 › UNM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UNM
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 NMSU1 UNM2 NMSU2 UNMModel: UNM -18.8

Betting information

Spread
UNM -16.5
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
NMSU 18.5 – 35.0 UNM

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

New Mexico defeated New Mexico State 38–20 to secure a comfortable win. New Mexico covered by 1.5; Game went Over by 4.5. The market closed at New Mexico -16.5 and the Blue Chip model made it New Mexico -18.8, an edge of 2.3 points toward New Mexico.

What were the weather conditions for New Mexico State vs New Mexico?

At kickoff, conditions at University Stadium (NM) were Overcast, 66°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

New Mexico State travels 192 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

New Mexico won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

New Mexico covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 4.5 points.

How do New Mexico State and New Mexico compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor New Mexico (-3.2) over New Mexico State (-20.6) by 17.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. New Mexico brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on New Mexico State and New Mexico?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

New Mexico won and New Mexico covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 27, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

66°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity70%
Wind7 mph SE
Gusts15 mph
Wind map for New Mexico State at New Mexico: aerial view of University Stadium (NM), wind from the SE at 7.4 mph, gusting to 14.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM MDT
Venue
University Stadium (NM)
Capacity
39,224
Elevation
5,121 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

New Mexico StateAway New MexicoHome
This week192 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total1,838 miles3,976 miles
Body clock14:0014:00
Rest14 days14 days

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