14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
New Mexico State @ New Mexico
2-1
CUSA
Power Rank: -20.6
20 FINAL 38
2-1
MW
Power Rank: -3.2
New Mexico covered by 4.5 | Game went Over by 3.5

By · Last updated

New Mexico defeated New Mexico State 38–20 to secure a comfortable win.

New Mexico State @ New Mexico Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:00 PM MDT
Stadium: University Stadium (NM)
Capacity: 39,224
Elevation: 5121 ft
HFA Rating: 2.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread New Mexico -13.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score NMSU 20.5 - 34.0 UNM
Power Rank Implied Line New Mexico +17.4
Prediction Markets New Mexico 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

43.3°F

Wind Chill: 41.3°F
Wind: 4.3 mph SSW
Gusts: 8.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 38%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

New Mexico State (Away)

This Week: 192.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 1838.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 14

New Mexico (Home)

This Week: 0.1 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3976.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 15

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line New Mexico -13.5
Total Points 54.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
New Mexico State -20.6
New Mexico -3.2
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 192 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest New Mexico +1
HFA: University Stadium (NM)
Capacity 39,224
Elevation 5121 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 43.3°F
Wind Speed 4.3 mph
Your Line New Mexico +17.4
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for New Mexico State vs New Mexico?

New Mexico State: Key Factors

New Mexico: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

New Mexico State travels 192 miles to this game, a short road trip.

New Mexico won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

New Mexico covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Over by 3.5 points.

How do New Mexico State and New Mexico compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour New Mexico (-3.2) over New Mexico State (-20.6) by 17.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. New Mexico brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on New Mexico State and New Mexico?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

New Mexico won and New Mexico covered the spread.