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Week 4 • September 20, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
UT Martin @ Missouri State
0-0
FCS
Power Rank: -27.6
10 FINAL 42
1-2
CUSA
Power Rank: -14.6

By · Last updated

Missouri State defeated UT Martin 42–10 in a dominant performance.

UT Martin @ Missouri State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Plaster Sports Complex
Capacity: 17,500
Elevation: 1339 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Missouri State -17.5
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Missouri State +13.0
Prediction Markets Missouri State 86% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

27.7°F

Wind Chill: 22.3°F
Wind: 4.7 mph NNE
Gusts: 9.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 90%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UT Martin (Away)

This Week: 252.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3789.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Missouri State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4041.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Missouri State -17.5
Total Points —
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
UT Martin -27.6
Missouri State -14.6
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 252 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Plaster Sports Complex
Capacity 17,500
Elevation 1339 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 27.7°F
Wind Speed 4.7 mph
Your Line Missouri State +13.0
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for UT Martin vs Missouri State?

UT Martin: Key Factors

Missouri State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

UT Martin travels 252 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Missouri State won by 32 in a dominant performance.

Missouri State covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

Does weather affect this game at Plaster Sports Complex?

At 27.7°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do UT Martin and Missouri State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Missouri State (-14.6) over UT Martin (-27.6) by 13.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Missouri State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UT Martin and Missouri State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Missouri State won and Missouri State covered the spread.