Week 4 •
Raymond James Stadium

South Carolina State14 @FINAL 63South Florida , Week 4, Sep 20, 2025

0-0 MEAC Power rating: -20.2
2-1 American Power rating: 10.8

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USF -36.5
PM Implied
USF -20.8
Blue Chip model
USF -34.5
Edge
-2.0SCST
See details
◂ favors SCSTfavors USF ▸Market: USF -36.5
31.0 › USF
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USF
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USF
1 SCST1 USF2 SCST2 USF3 SCST3 USFModel: USF -34.5

Betting information

Spread
USF -36.5
Total
58.5
Odds implied score
SCST 11.0 – 47.5 USF
Prediction markets
USF 98% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

South Florida defeated South Carolina State 63–14 in a dominant performance. South Florida covered by 12.5; Game went Over by 18.5. The market closed at South Florida -36.5 and the Blue Chip model made it South Florida -34.5, an edge of 2.0 points toward South Carolina State.

What were the weather conditions for South Carolina State vs South Florida?

At kickoff, conditions at Raymond James Stadium were Partly cloudy, 91°F, heat index 98°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

South Carolina State travels 393 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

South Florida won by 49 in a dominant performance.

South Florida covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 18.5 points.

How do South Carolina State and South Florida compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Florida (10.8) over South Carolina State (-20.2) by 31.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Florida brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

South Florida won and South Florida covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 20, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

91°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity48%
Wind9 mph NNE
Gusts10 mph
Heat index98°F
Wind map for South Carolina State at South Florida: aerial view of Raymond James Stadium, wind from the NNE at 8.7 mph, gusting to 10.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EDT
Venue
Raymond James Stadium
Capacity
69,218
Elevation
72 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

Measure South Carolina StateAway South FloridaHome
This week393 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week394 miles
Season total461 miles625 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest7 days7 days