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Week 4 • September 20, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
Michigan @ Nebraska
2-1
Big Ten
Power Rank: 14.9
30 FINAL 27
3-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 14.1
Michigan covered by 0.5 | Game went Over by 12.5

By · Last updated

Michigan defeated Nebraska 30–27 in a nail-biter.

Michigan @ Nebraska Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Capacity: 85,458
Elevation: 1204 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Michigan -2.5
Total (O/U) 44.5
Expected Score MICH 23.5 - 21.0 NEB
Power Rank Implied Line Michigan +0.8
Prediction Markets Michigan 52% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

27.6°F

Wind Chill: 20.3°F
Wind: 6.7 mph NNE
Gusts: 13.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 70%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Michigan (Away)

This Week: 678.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2446.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Nebraska (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 339.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Michigan -2.5
Total Points 44.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Michigan 14.9
Nebraska 14.1
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 678 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Capacity 85,458
Elevation 1204 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 27.6°F
Wind Speed 6.7 mph
Your Line Nebraska -0.8
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Michigan vs Nebraska?

Michigan: Key Factors

Nebraska: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Michigan travels 678 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Michigan arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Michigan won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Michigan covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Over by 12.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)?

At 27.6°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Michigan and Nebraska compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Michigan (14.9) over Nebraska (14.1) by 0.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Nebraska faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Nebraska brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Michigan and Nebraska?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Michigan won and Michigan covered the spread.