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Week 4 •
CEFCU Stadium

Idaho28 @FINAL 31San José State

0-0 Big Sky Power rating: -17.5
0-2 MW Power rating: -4.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
SJSU -14.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SJSU -15.4
Edge
+1.4SJSU
See details
◂ favors IDHOfavors SJSU ▸Market: SJSU -14.0
12.6 › SJSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SJSU
SJSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 IDHO1 SJSU2 IDHO2 SJSUModel: SJSU -15.4

Betting information

Spread
SJSU -14.0
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
IDHO 18.8 – 32.8 SJSU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

San José State defeated Idaho 31–28 in a nail-biter. Idaho covered by 11.0; Game went Over by 7.5. The market closed at San José State -14.0 and the Blue Chip model made it San José State -15.4, an edge of 1.4 points toward San José State.

What are the key factors for Idaho vs San José State?

San José State

Clutch Kicking Performance

Denis Lynch's 48-yard field goal with 7 seconds left secured a 31-28 win, showing the team's ability to execute under pressure. This reliability in special teams could be crucial in close future games.

Breakout Running Game

Jabari Bates rushed for a career-high 131 yards on 11 carries, including an 87-yard touchdown. His emergence provides a much-needed ground threat, which could open up the offense and reduce reliance on the passing game.

Efficient Passing Attack

Walker Eget completed 62% of his passes for 222 yards and a touchdown, with Danny Scudero catching 6 passes for 130 yards. This balanced aerial attack suggests the passing game can be a consistent weapon moving forward.

Defensive Resilience

After allowing 14 points early, the defense forced a key three-and-out in the second half, the only punt of the half, setting up the game-winning drive. This ability to make stops when needed is a positive sign for upcoming contests.

What were the weather conditions for Idaho vs San José State?

At kickoff, conditions at CEFCU Stadium were Clear, 60°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Idaho travels 695 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

San José State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Idaho covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 7.5 points.

How do Idaho and San José State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor San José State (-4.9) over Idaho (-17.5) by 12.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. San José State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Idaho and San José State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

San José State won and Idaho covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 20, 2025 Game-time

Clear

60°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity77%
Wind5 mph NW
Gusts10 mph
Wind map for Idaho at San José State: aerial view of CEFCU Stadium, wind from the NW at 4.9 mph, gusting to 10.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM PDT
Venue
CEFCU Stadium
Capacity
18,203
Elevation
105 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

IdahoAway San José StateHome
This week695 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total709 miles2,932 miles
Body clock14:0014:00
Rest7 days14 days

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