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Week 4 •
Peden Stadium

Gardner-Webb35 @FINAL 52Ohio

0-0 OVC-Big South Power rating: -20.2
1-2 MAC Power rating: -0.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
OHIO -30.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
OHIO -23.4
Edge
-7.1GWEB
See details
◂ favors GWEBfavors OHIO ▸Market: OHIO -30.5
19.8 › OHIO
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
OHIO
no impact
no impact
no impact
OHIO
5 GWEB5 OHIOModel: OHIO -23.4

Betting information

Spread
OHIO -30.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
GWEB 12.5 – 43.0 OHIO

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Ohio defeated Gardner-Webb 52–35 to secure a comfortable win. Gardner-Webb covered by 13.5; Game went Over by 31.5. The market closed at Ohio -30.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Ohio -23.4 - a gap of 7.1 points toward Gardner-Webb, of which 6.1 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Gardner-Webb vs Ohio?

Gardner-Webb

Strong Start but Inability to Maintain Lead

Gardner-Webb built a 14-3 lead in the first quarter, showing offensive capability, but allowed Ohio to score 28 unanswered points in the second quarter, ultimately losing control of the game.

Explosive Passing Attack

Quarterback Nate Hampton threw for 289 yards and two touchdowns, including a 68-yard scoring pass to Quasean Holmes, indicating a potent passing game that can produce big plays.

Defensive Struggles Against the Run

The defense allowed Ohio to rush for three touchdowns each by Sieh Bangura and Duncan Brune, totaling 123 yards from Bangura alone, highlighting a vulnerability in stopping the run.

Key Receiver Performance

Quasean Holmes had 11 receptions for 47 yards and two touchdowns, demonstrating his reliability as a target in the passing game, though his yards per catch were low.

Turnover Differential

Hampton threw one interception, contributing to a turnover that may have shifted momentum, while Ohio did not commit any turnovers, emphasizing the need for better ball security.

What were the weather conditions for Gardner-Webb vs Ohio?

At kickoff, conditions at Peden Stadium were Thundery outbreaks possible, 80°F, heat index 82°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Gardner-Webb travels 282 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Ohio won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Gardner-Webb covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 31.5 points.

How do Gardner-Webb and Ohio compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ohio (-0.4) over Gardner-Webb (-20.2) by 19.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ohio brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Gardner-Webb and Ohio?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Ohio won and Gardner-Webb covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 20, 2025 Game-time

Thundery outbreaks possible

80°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity51%
Wind2 mph SE
Gusts3 mph
Heat index82°F
Wind map for Gardner-Webb at Ohio: aerial view of Peden Stadium, wind from the SE at 1.6 mph, gusting to 3.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Peden Stadium
Capacity
25,210
Elevation
640 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Gardner-WebbAway OhioHome
This week282 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week135 miles
Season total653 miles963 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest7 days7 days

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