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Week 4 •
Pitbull Stadium

Delaware38 @FINAL 16Florida International

2-1 CUSA Power rating: -12.9
2-1 CUSA Power rating: -18.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
FIU -4.0
PM Implied
FIU -3.8
Blue Chip model
DEL -2.4
Edge
-6.4DEL
See details
◂ favors DELfavors FIU ▸Market: FIU -4.0
DEL
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FIU
no impact
FIU
no impact
FIU
2 DEL2 FIU4 DEL4 FIU6 DEL6 FIUModel: DEL -2.4

Betting information

Spread
FIU -4.0
Total
54.5
Odds implied score
DEL 25.3 – 29.3 FIU
Prediction markets
FIU 65% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Delaware defeated Florida International 38–16 to secure a comfortable win. Delaware covered by 26.0; Game went Under by 0.5. The market closed at Florida International -4.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Delaware -2.4 - a gap of 6.4 points toward Delaware, of which 5.1 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Delaware vs Florida International?

Florida International

Turnover Troubles

Quarterback Keyone Jenkins threw two early interceptions, which allowed Delaware to minimize FIU's early lead and sparked a 21-point swing in the second quarter. Protecting the ball will be critical in future games.

Red Zone Inefficiency

FIU's defense allowed Delaware to convert 5-of-6 red zone opportunities into scores, including three touchdowns. Improving red zone defense is essential to keep games close.

Rushing Attack Shows Promise

Kejon Owens (74 yards) and Anthony Carrie (73 yards) combined for 147 rushing yards, indicating a strong ground game that can be leaned on to control the clock and take pressure off the passing game.

Special Teams Vulnerability

Kyre Duplessis returned a punt 68 yards for a touchdown, flipping momentum decisively. FIU must improve punt coverage and avoid big plays in the kicking game.

Offensive Balance Needed

Despite solid rushing, the passing game struggled with turnovers and lacked consistency. Establishing a more balanced attack will be key to sustaining drives and scoring points.

What were the weather conditions for Delaware vs Florida International?

At kickoff, conditions at Pitbull Stadium were Overcast, 79°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Delaware travels 995 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Delaware won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.

Delaware covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 0.5 points.

How do Delaware and Florida International compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Delaware (-12.9) over Florida International (-18.0) by 5.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Florida International faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Florida International brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Delaware and Florida International?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Delaware won and Delaware covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 20, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

79°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity93%
Wind11 mph NE
Gusts16 mph
Wind map for Delaware at Florida International: aerial view of Pitbull Stadium, wind from the NE at 11.4 mph, gusting to 15.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM EDT
Venue
Pitbull Stadium
Capacity
20,000
Elevation
30 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

DelawareAway Florida InternationalHome
This week995 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total4,121 miles2,096 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days

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