Week 4
Hancock Whitney Stadium

Coastal Carolina38 @FINAL 20South Alabama , Week 4, Sep 20, 2025

1-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -13.3
1-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -10.9

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USA -14.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
USA -5.0
Edge
-9.5CCU
See details
◂ favors CCUfavors USA ▸Market: USA -14.5
USA
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USA
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USA
5 CCU5 USA10 CCU10 USAModel: USA -5.0

Betting information

Spread
USA -14.5
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
CCU 18.5 – 33.0 USA

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Coastal Carolina defeated South Alabama 38–20 to secure a comfortable win. Coastal Carolina covered by 32.5; Game went Over by 6.5. The market closed at South Alabama -14.5 and the Blue Chip model made it South Alabama -5.0 - a gap of 9.5 points toward Coastal Carolina, of which 8.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Coastal Carolina vs South Alabama?

At kickoff, conditions at Hancock Whitney Stadium were Clear, 80°F, heat index 84°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Coastal Carolina travels 578 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Coastal Carolina arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Coastal Carolina won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

Coastal Carolina covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 6.5 points.

How do Coastal Carolina and South Alabama compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Alabama (-10.9) over Coastal Carolina (-13.3) by 2.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Alabama brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Coastal Carolina won and Coastal Carolina covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 20, 2025 Game-time

Clear

80°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity70%
Wind5 mph WSW
Gusts10 mph
Heat index84°F
Wind map for Coastal Carolina at South Alabama: aerial view of Hancock Whitney Stadium, wind from the WSW at 4.9 mph, gusting to 10.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
Hancock Whitney Stadium
Capacity
25,450
Elevation
197 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Coastal CarolinaAway South AlabamaHome
This week578 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game413 miles
Season total1,165 miles413 miles
Body clock19:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days