Week 3
Protective Stadium

Akron28 @FINAL 31UAB , Week 3, Sep 14, 2025

0-2 MAC Power rating: -20.0
1-1 American Power rating: -13.1

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UAB -12.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UAB -9.7
Edge
-2.8AKR
See details
◂ favors AKRfavors UAB ▸Market: UAB -12.5
6.9 › UAB
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1 AKR1 UAB2 AKR2 UAB3 AKR3 UABModel: UAB -9.7

Betting information

Spread
UAB -12.5
Total
58.5
Odds implied score
AKR 23.0 – 35.5 UAB

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

UAB defeated Akron 31–28 in a nail-biter. Akron covered by 9.5; Game went Over by 0.5. The market closed at UAB -12.5 and the Blue Chip model made it UAB -9.7, an edge of 2.8 points toward Akron.

What are the key factors for Akron vs UAB?

Akron

Explosive Start but Inconsistent Offense

Akron opened with a 75-yard touchdown pass from Ben Finley to Israel Polk, but after building a 14-7 lead, the offense stalled, managing only a field goal in the second half. Finley finished 19-of-35 for 282 yards, but the team failed to sustain drives, converting only 4 of 13 third downs.

Defensive Struggles Against the Pass

UAB's Jalen Kitna threw for 341 yards and two touchdowns, completing 30 of 45 passes. Akron's secondary allowed big plays, including a 96-yard kickoff return touchdown and multiple short-yardage scoring passes, contributing to a 31-20 halftime deficit.

Late Rally Falls Short

Akron cut the lead to 31-28 with a 1-yard touchdown run by Sean Patrick with 12:38 remaining, but the defense could not force a stop. The Zips' final possession ended on 4th-and-19 at their own 26-yard line, sealing the loss.

Bright Spots in Rushing and Receiving

Sean Patrick rushed for 81 yards on 19 carries, providing a ground threat, while Israel Polk had 99 yards on four receptions. However, the offense lacked consistency, and the team committed no turnovers but failed to capitalize on opportunities.

Winless Start and Urgent Need for Improvement

At 0-3, Akron must address defensive lapses and offensive consistency. The team has shown flashes of big-play ability but needs to execute for four quarters to compete in future games.

UAB

Explosive Special Teams Play

Solomon Beebe's 96-yard kickoff return for a touchdown set the tone early, giving UAB a quick lead and momentum. This special teams spark was crucial in a close game and could be a weapon in future matchups.

Jalen Kitna's Efficient Passing

Kitna threw for 341 yards and 2 touchdowns on 30-of-45 passing, spreading the ball to nine different receivers. His ability to connect on short-yardage touchdowns in the second quarter helped UAB build a 31-20 halftime lead, showing his poise under pressure.

Balanced Receiving Corps

Corri Milliner (6 catches, 70 yards, TD) and Iverson Hooks (5 catches, 84 yards) led a diverse receiving attack. This depth makes UAB's passing game difficult to defend, as multiple targets can step up in key situations.

Defensive Stand in Final Minutes

UAB's defense forced an incomplete pass on 4th-and-19 at their own 26-yard line with 12:38 remaining, preserving the 31-28 lead. This clutch stop prevented Akron from tying or taking the lead, highlighting the defense's ability to perform in critical moments.

Early Offensive Balance

Nate Rogers' 8-yard touchdown run tied the game 14-14 late in the first quarter, complementing the passing attack. This balance kept Akron's defense guessing and allowed UAB to control the tempo after the initial shootout.

What were the weather conditions for Akron vs UAB?

At kickoff, conditions at Protective Stadium were Clear, 75°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Akron travels 596 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Akron arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

UAB won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Akron covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 0.5 points.

How do Akron and UAB compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UAB (-13.1) over Akron (-20.0) by 6.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UAB brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

UAB won and Akron covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 14, 2025 Game-time

Clear

75°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity62%
Wind3 mph E
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for Akron at UAB: aerial view of Protective Stadium, wind from the E at 3.4 mph, gusting to 6.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM CDT
Venue
Protective Stadium
Capacity
47,100
Elevation
623 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure AkronAway UABHome
This week596 miles0 miles
Last week1,589 miles1,373 miles
Season total2,185 miles1,373 miles
Body clock20:3019:30
Rest8 days8 days