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Week 3 •
Spartan Stadium

Youngstown State24 @FINAL 41Michigan State

0-0 MVFC Power rating: -17.4
2-0 Big Ten Power rating: 3.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MSU -23.5
PM Implied
MSU -16.9
Blue Chip model
MSU -22.0
Edge
-1.5YSU
See details
◂ favors YSUfavors MSU ▸Market: MSU -23.5
20.6 › MSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 YSU1 MSU2 YSU2 MSUModel: MSU -22.0

Betting information

Spread
MSU -23.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
YSU 16.0 – 39.5 MSU
Prediction markets
MSU 95% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Michigan State defeated Youngstown State 41–24 to secure a comfortable win. Youngstown State covered by 6.5; Game went Over by 9.5. The market closed at Michigan State -23.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Michigan State -22.0, an edge of 1.5 points toward Youngstown State.

What were the weather conditions for Youngstown State vs Michigan State?

At kickoff, conditions at Spartan Stadium were Overcast, 68°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Youngstown State travels 227 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Michigan State won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Youngstown State covered the spread.

The total went Over by 9.5 points.

How do Youngstown State and Michigan State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Michigan State (3.2) over Youngstown State (-17.4) by 20.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Michigan State brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Youngstown State and Michigan State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Michigan State won and Youngstown State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

68°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity91%
Wind5 mph SSW
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for Youngstown State at Michigan State: aerial view of Spartan Stadium, wind from the SSW at 4.5 mph, gusting to 6.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Spartan Stadium
Capacity
75,005
Elevation
866 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Youngstown StateAway Michigan StateHome
This week227 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total227 miles0 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest7 days7 days

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