Week 3
Williams-Brice Stadium

Vanderbilt31 @FINAL 7South Carolina , Week 3, Sep 13, 2025

2-0 SEC Power rating: 16.6
2-0 SEC Power rating: 9.5

How did the line hold up?

Market line
SC -3.0
PM Implied
SC -2.3
Blue Chip model
VAN -4.7
Edge
-7.7VAN
See details
◂ favors VANfavors SC ▸Market: SC -3.0
VAN
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SC
no impact
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5 VAN5 SCModel: VAN -4.7

Betting information

Spread
SC -3.0
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
VAN 22.8 – 25.8 SC
Prediction markets
SC 60% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Vanderbilt defeated South Carolina 31–7 to secure a comfortable win. Vanderbilt covered by 27.0; Game went Under by 10.5. The market closed at South Carolina -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Vanderbilt -4.7 - a gap of 7.7 points toward Vanderbilt, of which 7.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Vanderbilt vs South Carolina?

South Carolina

Quarterback Uncertainty

Starter LaNorris Sellers was knocked out in the second quarter with a helmet-to-helmet hit and did not return. Backup Luke Doty was ineffective, failing to lead any scoring drives. Coach Shane Beamer said it's 'way too soon' to know if Doty will start next week against Missouri, creating major uncertainty at the most important position.

Offensive Struggles Continue

After scoring a touchdown on their opening drive, the Gamecocks failed to score again. They managed only 7 points total, had costly penalties, and turned the ball over four times (two interceptions, two fumbles). The offense has struggled in all three games this season, and losing Sellers only compounds the issue.

Defensive Discipline Issues

South Carolina committed several costly penalties, and preseason All-American Dylan Stewart was ejected late in the fourth quarter for unsportsmanlike conduct after shoving a Vanderbilt player. This lack of discipline hurt the team's ability to stop Vanderbilt's balanced attack and maintain field position.

National Title Hopes Dashed

The loss to Vanderbilt, a team they had beaten 16 straight times, effectively ends any national championship aspirations. The Gamecocks are now 2-1 overall and 0-1 in SEC play, and with quarterback uncertainty, their path to contention is extremely narrow.

Rahsul Faison Bright Spot

Running back Rahsul Faison rushed for 74 yards and a touchdown, providing a rare offensive highlight. However, the team's inability to sustain drives or protect the ball limited his impact. His performance suggests the run game could be a focal point if the passing game remains unreliable.

What were the weather conditions for Vanderbilt vs South Carolina?

At kickoff, conditions at Williams-Brice Stadium were Clear, 73°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Vanderbilt travels 361 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Vanderbilt arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Vanderbilt won by 24 to secure a comfortable win.

Vanderbilt covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 10.5 points.

How do Vanderbilt and South Carolina compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Vanderbilt (16.6) over South Carolina (9.5) by 7.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, South Carolina faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. South Carolina brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Vanderbilt won and Vanderbilt covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Clear

73°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity58%
Wind3 mph ESE
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for Vanderbilt at South Carolina: aerial view of Williams-Brice Stadium, wind from the ESE at 3.4 mph, gusting to 6.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
07:45 PM EDT
Venue
Williams-Brice Stadium
Capacity
77,559
Elevation
243 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure VanderbiltAway South CarolinaHome
This week361 miles0 miles
Last week725 milesHome game
Season total1,086 miles390 miles
Body clock18:4519:45
Rest7 days7 days