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Week 3 •
SECU Stadium

Towson17 @FINAL 44Maryland

0-0 CAA Power rating: -17.5
2-0 Big Ten Power rating: 3.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MD -28.5
PM Implied
MD -20.8
Blue Chip model
MD -23.0
Edge
-5.5TOW
See details
◂ favors TOWfavors MD ▸Market: MD -28.5
20.5 › MD
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MD
no impact
no impact
no impact
MD
2 TOW2 MD4 TOW4 MD6 TOW6 MDModel: MD -23.0

Betting information

Spread
MD -28.5
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
TOW 12.5 – 41.0 MD
Prediction markets
MD 98% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Maryland defeated Towson 44–17 to secure a comfortable win. Towson covered by 1.5; Game went Over by 7.5. The market closed at Maryland -28.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Maryland -23.0 - a gap of 5.5 points toward Towson, of which 4.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Towson vs Maryland?

Towson

Late offensive spark

Towson outscored Maryland 17-3 in the fourth quarter after trailing 41-0, including an 84-yard touchdown pass from Nathan Kent to Jaceon Doss, showing resilience and ability to produce against a depleted defense.

Covered the spread despite blowout

Despite the 44-17 loss, Towson managed to cover the 28.5-point spread, indicating they performed better than expected in the second half and could be undervalued in future matchups.

Defensive struggles early

The Tigers allowed 34 points in the first half and a 100-yard interception return for a touchdown, highlighting significant defensive vulnerabilities that need addressing before their next game.

Bye week preparation

Towson is off until September 27 when they play at Bryant, giving them extra time to correct mistakes and build on the late-game momentum from the Maryland game.

Maryland

Dominant First Half Performance

Maryland built a 34-0 halftime lead, showcasing offensive efficiency and defensive dominance. The Terrapins scored on a 2-yard run by DeJuan Williams, a 2-yard TD run by Malik Washington, a 32-yard pass from Washington to Shaleak Knotts, and a rushing TD by Nolan Ray. This early control allowed them to cruise to a 44-17 victory.

Malik Washington's Impressive Start

True freshman quarterback Malik Washington completed 16 of 22 passes for 261 yards and a touchdown, with one interception. He has thrown for 773 yards in his first three games, the most by a power conference true freshman since 2018. His quick decision-making and accuracy have been key, and he has yet to take a sack this season.

Defensive Highlights and Depth

La'khi Roland returned an interception 100 yards for a touchdown, Maryland's first such return since 1962. The defense allowed only 33 points through three games, showing positive signs. The blowout allowed many players to get game experience, which should build depth for the upcoming Big Ten schedule.

Nonconference Streak Continues

Maryland won its 18th consecutive nonconference game, the longest active streak in the FBS. This dominance against non-Big Ten opponents sets a strong foundation as they prepare for conference play.

Next Game: at Wisconsin

Maryland travels to Wisconsin next Saturday for their Big Ten opener. The Terrapins will need to maintain their offensive efficiency and defensive discipline against a tougher opponent. The team's depth and experience from this game could be beneficial in a more competitive environment.

What were the weather conditions for Towson vs Maryland?

At kickoff, conditions at SECU Stadium were Partly cloudy, 83°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Towson travels 33 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Maryland won by 27 to secure a comfortable win.

Towson covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 7.5 points.

How do Towson and Maryland compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Maryland (3.0) over Towson (-17.5) by 20.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Maryland brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Towson and Maryland?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Maryland won and Towson covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

83°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity38%
Wind3 mph SSE
Gusts3 mph
Wind map for Towson at Maryland: aerial view of SECU Stadium, wind from the SSE at 2.7 mph, gusting to 3.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EDT
Venue
SECU Stadium
Capacity
51,802
Elevation
148 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

TowsonAway MarylandHome
This week33 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total33 miles0 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest7 days8 days

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