Week 3 • September 13, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
2-0
CUSA
Power Rank: -20.6
14 FINAL 49
1-1
CUSA
Power Rank: -5.5
Louisiana Tech covered by 25.5 | Game went Over by 20.5

Louisiana Tech defeated New Mexico State 49–14 in a dominant performance.

New Mexico State @ Louisiana Tech Preview

General Information

Week: Week 3
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Joe Aillet Stadium
Capacity: 23,000
Elevation: 269 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Louisiana Tech -9.5
Total (O/U) 42.5
Expected Score NMSU 16.5 - 26.0 LT
Power Rank Implied Line Louisiana Tech +15.1
Prediction Markets Louisiana Tech 76% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

36.3°F

Wind Chill: 31.8°F
Wind: 5.4 mph WSW
Gusts: 11.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 76%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

New Mexico State (Away)

This Week: 822.9 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 822.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:30
Rest Days: 6

Louisiana Tech (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 340.0 miles
Season Total: 987.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Louisiana Tech -9.5
Total Points 42.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
New Mexico State -20.6
Louisiana Tech -5.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 823 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Louisiana Tech +1
HFA: Joe Aillet Stadium
Capacity 23,000
Elevation 269 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 36.3°F
Wind Speed 5.4 mph
Your Line Louisiana Tech +15.1
Implied Value

What are the key factors for New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech?

New Mexico State: Key Factors

Louisiana Tech: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

New Mexico State travels 823 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

New Mexico State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Louisiana Tech won by 35 in a dominant performance.

Louisiana Tech covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 20.5 points.

How do New Mexico State and Louisiana Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Louisiana Tech (-5.5) over New Mexico State (-20.6) by 15.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Louisiana Tech brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Louisiana Tech won and Louisiana Tech covered the spread.