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Week 3 •
Scheumann Stadium

New Hampshire29 @FINAL 34Ball State

0-0 CAA Power rating: -20.8
0-2 MAC Power rating: -19.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
BALL -3.0
PM Implied
BALL -1.6
Blue Chip model
BALL -4.4
Edge
+1.4BALL
See details
◂ favors UNHfavors BALL ▸Market: BALL -3.0
BALL
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
BALL
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 UNH1 BALL2 UNH2 BALL3 UNH3 BALLModel: BALL -4.4

Betting information

Spread
BALL -3.0
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
UNH 21.8 – 24.8 BALL
Prediction markets
BALL 56% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Ball State defeated New Hampshire 34–29 in a closely contested finish. Ball State covered by 2.0; Game went Over by 16.5. The market closed at Ball State -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Ball State -4.4, an edge of 1.4 points toward Ball State.

What were the weather conditions for New Hampshire vs Ball State?

At kickoff, conditions at Scheumann Stadium were Overcast, 76°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

New Hampshire travels 775 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Ball State won by 5 in a closely contested finish.

Ball State covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 16.5 points.

How do New Hampshire and Ball State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ball State (-19.6) over New Hampshire (-20.8) by 1.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ball State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on New Hampshire and Ball State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Ball State won and Ball State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

76°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity64%
Wind5 mph S
Gusts9 mph
Wind map for New Hampshire at Ball State: aerial view of Scheumann Stadium, wind from the S at 5.1 mph, gusting to 8.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM EDT
Venue
Scheumann Stadium
Capacity
16,319
Elevation
951 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

New HampshireAway Ball StateHome
This week775 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week1,050 miles
Season total775 miles1,211 miles
Body clock14:0014:00
Rest7 days7 days

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