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Week 3 •
Fifth Third Stadium

Merrimack13 @FINAL 27Kennesaw State

0-0 Independent Power rating: -30.4
0-2 CUSA Power rating: -4.1

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
KENN -17.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
KENN -29.1
Edge
+11.6KENN
See details
◂ favors MRMKfavors KENN ▸Market: KENN -17.5
26.3 › KENN
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
KENN
no impact
KENN
no impact
no impact
5 MRMK5 KENN10 MRMK10 KENNModel: KENN -29.1

Betting information

Spread
KENN -17.5
Total
44.5
Odds implied score
MRMK 13.5 – 31.0 KENN

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Kennesaw State defeated Merrimack 27–13 in a double-digit victory. Merrimack covered by 3.5; Game went Under by 4.5. The market closed at Kennesaw State -17.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Kennesaw State -29.1 - a gap of 11.6 points toward Kennesaw State, of which 10.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Merrimack vs Kennesaw State?

Kennesaw State

First win under new coach

Kennesaw State secured its first victory of the season and first under head coach Jerry Mack, improving to 1-2 after losses to Wake Forest and Indiana.

Efficient quarterback play

Amari Odom was highly efficient, completing 12 of 14 passes for 108 yards and a touchdown, while also rushing for a score, showing improved offensive execution.

Balanced rushing attack

The Owls rushed for multiple touchdowns, including a 4-yard run by Dexter Williams II and a 12-yard run by Odom, indicating a ground game that can control tempo.

Defensive resilience

After allowing 56 points to Indiana, the defense held Merrimack to 13 points and forced an interception returned for a touchdown, showing significant improvement.

Home field advantage

Playing at home for the first time this season, the Owls responded with a dominant performance, which could boost confidence for future home games.

What were the weather conditions for Merrimack vs Kennesaw State?

At kickoff, conditions at Fifth Third Stadium were Clear, 78°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Merrimack travels 941 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Kennesaw State won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Merrimack covered the spread.

The total went Under by 4.5 points.

How do Merrimack and Kennesaw State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Kennesaw State (-4.1) over Merrimack (-30.4) by 26.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Kennesaw State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Merrimack and Kennesaw State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Kennesaw State won and Merrimack covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Clear

78°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity54%
Wind3 mph NE
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for Merrimack at Kennesaw State: aerial view of Fifth Third Stadium, wind from the NE at 3.4 mph, gusting to 6.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM EDT
Venue
Fifth Third Stadium
Capacity
10,200
Elevation
1,096 ft
Surface
Hybrid

Travel and rest

MerrimackAway Kennesaw StateHome
This week941 miles3 miles
Last weekBye week742 miles
Season total2,012 miles1,313 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days

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