26 Final 23 38 Final 61 13 Final 20 30 Final 24 34 Final 6 31 Final 34 34 Final 41 16 Final 35 19 Final 16 38 Final 35 14 Final 28 28 Final 31 38 Final 45 14 Final 42 24 Final 20 13 Final 6 20 Final 59 49 Final 51 23 Final 52 24 Final 37 38 Final 17 24 Final 25 28 Final 27 20 Final 35 10 Final 21 24 Final 27 56 Final 21 31 Final 39 24 Final 31 20 Final 31 49 Final 39 10 Final 13 23 Final 15 10 Final 28 17 Final 34 49 Final 27 17 Final 28 20 Final 24 21 Final 14 13 Final 28 31 Final 35 0 Final 26 31 Final 10 49 Final 56 20 Final 16 24 Final 57 32 Final 38 3 Final 39 17 Final 20 7 Final 24 27 Final 34 17 Final 34 31 Final 30 42 Final 19 16 Final 21 13 Final 21
Week 3 •
AlamodomeIndoor

Incarnate Word20 @FINAL 48UTSA

0-0 Southland Power rating: -17.6
0-2 American Power rating: -0.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UTSA -21.0
PM Implied
UTSA -15.1
Blue Chip model
UTSA -19.9
Edge
-1.1UIW
See details
◂ favors UIWfavors UTSA ▸Market: UTSA -21.0
16.9 › UTSA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UTSA
UIW
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 UIW2 UTSA4 UIW4 UTSAModel: UTSA -19.9

Betting information

Spread
UTSA -21.0
Total
62.5
Odds implied score
UIW 20.8 – 41.8 UTSA
Prediction markets
UTSA 92% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

UTSA defeated Incarnate Word 48–20 in a dominant performance. UTSA covered by 7.0; Game went Over by 5.5. The market closed at UTSA -21.0 and the Blue Chip model made it UTSA -19.9, an edge of 1.1 points toward Incarnate Word.

What are the key factors for Incarnate Word vs UTSA?

Incarnate Word

Slow Start and Turnovers

Incarnate Word fell behind 24-0 at halftime, managing only 90 yards of offense and committing three turnovers (two lost fumbles, one interception) that led to short UTSA touchdown drives. This slow start and inability to protect the ball were critical in the loss.

Second-Half Offensive Improvement

After replacing starting quarterback Richard Torres with EJ Colson in the second half, the offense showed life. Colson completed 17 of 24 passes for 213 yards and three touchdowns, all to Chedon James, who had eight catches for 134 yards and three scores. This suggests potential for a more effective passing attack moving forward.

Defensive Struggles Against the Run

The defense allowed UTSA running back Robert Henry Jr. to rush for 144 yards and two touchdowns, including a 74-yard run to open the second half. Henry has now rushed for over 100 yards in five straight games, indicating a vulnerability that opponents may exploit.

Ranking and Momentum

Entering the game ranked No. 8 in the FCS coaches' poll, the loss drops Incarnate Word to 1-2. The team will need to quickly regroup and address the early-game issues to avoid a losing streak and maintain confidence in a competitive FCS landscape.

What were the weather conditions for Incarnate Word vs UTSA?

This game was played indoors at Alamodome in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.

What happened in the game?

Incarnate Word travels 4 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

UTSA won by 28 in a dominant performance.

UTSA covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 5.5 points.

How do Incarnate Word and UTSA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UTSA (-0.7) over Incarnate Word (-17.6) by 16.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UTSA brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Incarnate Word and UTSA?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

UTSA won and UTSA covered the spread.

Conditions

Indoor, climate controlled

~72°F

Alamodome is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.

Wind map for Incarnate Word at UTSA: aerial view of Alamodome

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Alamodome
Capacity
64,000
Elevation
738 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Incarnate WordAway UTSAHome
This week4 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total4 miles304 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest14 days7 days

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